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2012 Awards discussion

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Post by Admin on Thu Mar 03, 2011 4:22 am

http://www.moviewiseguys.com/2011/03/wiseguys-early-predictions-84th-annual-oscars.html

NewsMovie ReviewsOscar PredictionsPMS ProductionsThe GuysContact
Wiseguys’ Early Predictions (84th Annual Oscars)
By pitstop on March 2nd, 2011 at 6:21 pm

Best Picture
1. War Horse
2. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
3. Contagion
4. The Descendants
5. A Dangerous Method
6. Moneyball
7. Hugo Cabret
8. The Ides of March
9. J. Edgar
10. Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy

Top Contenders
The Tree of Life
The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn
Water for Elephants
Jane Eyre
The Iron Lady
Rampart
On the Road
Martha Marcy May Marlene
Like Crazy
We Bought A Zoo
Meek’s Cutoff
Detachment
Win Win
The Help
Shame
This Must Be The Place
Larry Crowne
Melancholia
The Beaver
The Fields
The Skin I Inhabit
Young Adult
Super 8
Page Eight
Coriolanus

Best Director
1. David Fincher – The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
2. Steven Spielberg – War Horse
3. Steven Soderbergh – Contagion
4. Alexander Payne – The Descendants
5. Bennett Miller – Moneyball

Top Contenders
David Cronenberg – A Dangerous Method
George Clooney – The Ides of March
Martin Scorsese – Hugo Cabret
Phyllida Lloyd – The Iron Lady
Tomas Alfredson – Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
Steven Spielberg – The Adventures of Tintin
Terrence Malick – The Tree of Life
Oren Movermen – Rampart
Clint Eastwood – J. Edgar
Tony Kaye – Detachment
Thomas McCarthy – Win Win
Walter Salles – On the Road
Steve McQueen – Shame
Drake Doremus – Like Crazy
Paolo Sorrentino – This Must Be the Place
Tom Hanks – Larry Crowne
Ralph Fiennes – Coriolanus
Lars von Trier – Melancholia
Jodi Foster – The Beaver
Ami Canaan Mann – The Fields
Cary Fukunaga – Jane Eyre
Jason Reitman – Young Adult
David Hare – Page Eight
Frances Lawrence – Water for Elephants
Pedro Almodovar – The Skin I Inhabit

Best Actor
1. Leonardo DiCaprio – J. Edgar
2. Gary Oldman – Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
3. Viggo Mortensen – A Dangerous Method
4. George Clooney – The Descendants
5. Brad Pitt – Moneyball

Top Contenders
Ryan Gosling – The Ides of March
Daniel Craig – The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Paul Giamatti – Win Win
Woody Harrelson – Rampart
Michael Fassbender – Shame/ A Dangerous Method
Sean Penn – This Must Be the Place
Tom Hanks – Larry Crowne
Mel Gibson – The Beaver
Ralph Fiennes – Coriolanus/ Page Eight
Johnny Depp – The Rum Diary

Best Actress
1. Meryl Streep – The Iron Lady
2. Michelle Williams – My Week with Marilyn Monroe
3. Charlize Theron – Young Adult
4. Tilda Swinton – We Need to Talk About Kevin
5. Rooney Mara – The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

Top Contenders
Reese Witherspoon – Water for Elephants
Michelle Williams – Meek’s Cutoff
Saoirse Ronan – Hanna
Jessica Chastain – The Tree of Life
Emma Stone – The Help
Elizabeth Olsen – Martha Marcy May Marlene
Mia Wasikowska – Jane Eyre
Carey Mulligan – Shame
Keira Knightley – A Dangerous Method
Amy Ryan – Win Win

Best Supporting Actor
1. Jim Broadbent – The Iron Lady
2. Philip Seymour Hoffman – Moneyball
3. Brad Pitt – The Tree of Life
4. Bill Nighy – Page Eight
5. Jude Law – Hugo Cabret

Top Contenders
Matt Damon – Contagion
Philip Seymour Hoffman – The Ides of March
Paul Giamatti – The Ides of March
Michael Fassbender – Jane Eyre
Colin Firth – Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
Tom Hardy – Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
Ben Foster – Rampart
Armie Hammer – J. Edgar
Sean Penn – The Tree of Life
Jude Law – Contagion

Best Supporting Actress
1. Kate Winslet – Contagion
2. Emily Watson – War Horse
3. Vanessa Redgrave – Coriolanus
4. Emily Mortimer – Hugo Cabret
5. Marcia Gay Harden – Detachment

Top Contenders
Naomi Watts – J. Edgar
Viola Davis – The Help
Marisa Tomei – The Ides of March
Judi Dench – Jane Eyre/ J. Edgar
Scarlett Johansson – We Bought a Zoo
Marion Cotillard – Contagion
Gwyneth Paltrow – Contagion
Robin Wright – Moneyball
Judy Greer – The Descendants
Chloe Moretz – Hugo Cabret
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Post by Admin on Thu Mar 03, 2011 4:23 am

http://screenday.wordpress.com/2011/03/02/the-oscar-nominations-2012-predictions/

The Oscar Nominations: 2012 Predictions!

Well, it’s been a whole 3 days since the 2011 Oscars, and I’m done. Let’s give it a moment of silence, shall we? (*Think of your favorite Oscar nomination morning surprise here (e.g. John Hawkes! Or Salt for Sound Mixing!)*) On to the new year!

I thought it would be only wise to put up predictions a year in advance and see how awful, or phenomenal I can do. Here is a full list of predictions. Anything interesting?

Best Picture:

* Albert Nobbs
* Contagion
* The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
* Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II
* Hugo Cabret
* Moneyball
* One Day
* The Rum Diary
* The Tree of Life
* Young Adult

Director:

* David Fincher – The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
* Rodrigo García – Albert Nobbs
* Terrence Malick – The Tree of Life
* Bruce Robinson – The Rum Diary
* Lone Scherfig – One Day

Actor:

* Johnny Depp – The Rum Diary
* Viggo Mortensen – A Dangerous Method
* Sean Penn – The Tree of Life
* Brad Pitt – Moneyball
* Jim Sturgess – One Day

Actress:

* Glenn Close – Albert Nobbs
* Anne Hathaway – One Day
* Meryl Streep – The Iron Lady
* Charlize Theron – Young Adult
* Michelle Williams – My Week with Marilyn

Supporting Actor:

* Jim Broadbent – The Iron Lady
* Michael Fassbender – A Dangerous Method
* Jude Law – Hugo Cabret
* Brad Pitt – The Tree of Life
* Alan Rickman – Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II

Supporting Actress:

* Helena Bonham Carter – Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II
* Jessica Chastain – The Tree of Life
* Rachel McAdams – Midnight in Paris
* Keira Knightley – A Dangerous Method
* Vanessa Redgrave – Coriolanus

Adapted Screenplay:

* The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
* Moneyball
* One Day
* The Rum Diary
* We Bought a Zoo

Original Screenplay:

* Albert Nobbs
* Contagion
* Like Crazy
* The Tree of Life
* Young Adult

Art Direction:

* Albert Nobbs
* Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II
* Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides
* The Tree of Life
* Water for Elephants

Cinematography:

* The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo – Jeff Cronenweth
* Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II – Eduardo Serra
* The Rum Diary – Dariusz Wolski
* The Tree of Life – Emmanuel Lubezki
* Water for Elephants – Rodrigo Prieto

Costume Design:

* Albert Nobbs
* Hugo Cabret
* My Week with Marilyn
* Water for Elephants
* Wuthering Heights

Film Editing:

* Albert Nobbs
* Contagion
* Hugo Cabret
* Super 8
* The Tree of Life

Makeup:

* Albert Nobbs
* Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II
* Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides

Original Score:

* The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo – Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross
* Hugo Cabret – Howard Shore
* One Day – Rachel Portman
* Super 8 – Michael Giacchino
* The Tree of Life – Alexandre Desplat

Sound Editing:

* Cowboys & Aliens
* Green Lantern
* Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II
* Super 8
* Transformers: Dark of the Moon

Sound Mixing:

* Hanna
* Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II
* Rio
* The Tree of Life
* War Horse

Visual Effects:

* Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II
* Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides
* Super 8
* Transformers: Dark of the Moon
* The Tree of Life

Animated Feature (assuming there are 5):

* The Adventures of Tintin
* Gnomeo & Juliet
* Kung Fu Panda 2
* Rango
* Rio

Some personal notes:

* I think this year’s animation line up looks awful so Rio is getting my only pass into the real categories… and that’s a maybe.
* I have more movies with 5 or 6 nominations than this year. This year had 5 movies with HUGE nomination counts. I really only have 3. But that’s not too weird.
* I do think in a sentimental sweep, Harry Potter will get a bazillion nominations. I think Helena Bonham Carter and Alan Rickman have the right roles and enough love to pull off a surprise nomination.
* Did you know a Rob Marshall film has never not been nominated for Art Direction? Did you know every Pirates of the Caribbean movie is an Oscar nominee?
* I’m all in behind The Tree of Life. If it sucks, I’m approximately 20% wrong since I have it in all but 4 categories.
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Post by Admin on Thu Mar 03, 2011 5:23 am

http://www.awkwardiswhatweaimfor.com/2011/03/beyond-awkward-take-trip-to-crazytown.html

Wednesday, March 2, 2011
Beyond the Awkward: Take a Trip to Crazytown! Oscar 2011 Predictions

Come on down to Crazytown, folks! It's been a mere couple of days since the last Oscar season ended, and we here at Awkward is What We Aim For are preparing for the 84th Academy Awards--in one year's time.

Why are we doing this, you might ask? Well, call us certifiable, but we always love to be a step ahead. And this is about a thousand steps ahead. As a result, these predictions are sure to fail in a grand fashion (which is why we kept it to the top six categories), but really, they were just fun.

Joining me in this ridiculous venture is AIWWAF contributor Andrew Sheridan, making this both a Beyond the Awkward feature and a Oscar Predictions post. Double the crazy, double the fun!

We made our predictions independently of each other, so you'll see both lists below, followed by some quick analysis. The overall list (both synthesized into the best guess) will appear in the Current Oscar Predictions section. Enjoy our insanely early Oscar picks!

BEST PICTURE

Andrew's Picks
Contagion
The Ides of March
The Invention of Hugo Cabret
J. Edgar
Like Crazy
Restless
Shame
Twixt Now and Sunrise
The Tree of Life
War Horse

Kevin's Picks
The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Contagion
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
The Ides of March
J. Edgar
Like Crazy
Midnight in Paris
Restless
The Tree of Life
War Horse

Both Andrew and I have a lot of faith in the films headed up by the veterans, and as he says, "This is going to be a big year for veterans--no Tom Hoopers, no Jennifer Lawrences." We both think Contagion, The Ides of March, J. Edgar, Like Crazy, Restless, The Tree of Life and War Horse are likely to get nominated, so that's the most likely batch of predictions.

BEST DIRECTOR

Andrew's Picks
Clint Eastwood, J. Edgar
Frances Ford Coppola, Txist Now and Sunrise
Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life
Steven Soderbergh, Contagion
Steven Spielberg, War Horse

Kevin's Picks
George Clooney, The Ides of March
Clint Eastwood, J. Edgar
Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life
Steven Soderbergh, Contagion
Stephen Spielberg, War Horse

"A big year for veteran directors" is what Andrew calls it, and I have to agree with him. We both agree on four of the five directors likely to be nominated, and while Andrew picks Coppola to be nominated and I pick Clooney, each is, like the other four, at least once an Oscar nominee for directing.

BEST ACTRESS

Andrew's Picks
Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
Felicity Jones, Like Crazy
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton, We Need To Talk About Kevin
Michelle Williams, Meek's Cutoff

Kevin's Picks
Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
Rachel McAdams, Midnight in Paris
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn

Andrew and I agree on four of the actors but only three of the performances, with his nod for Williams going towards her performance in Meek's Cutoff rather than My Week With Marilyn. Andrew prefers Jones to McAdams for the fifth spot, a smarter bet. He also thinks that Streep won't win her third Oscar this year--instead, she'll win for August: Osage County next year.

BEST ACTOR

Andrew's Picks
Johnny Depp, The Rum Diary
Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar
Sean Penn, This Must be the Place
Brad Pitt, The Tree of Life
Michael Fassbender, Shame

Kevin's Picks
Johnny Depp, The Rum Diary
Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar
Colin Firth, The Promised Land
Ryan Gosling, The Ides of March
Sean Penn, The Tree of Life

An interesting conundrum in this and the supporting male actor categories--where to place the Tree of Life men? I put Penn here but only have him getting one nod, whereas Andrew places Pitt here and has Penn getting nominated for This Must be the Place here in lead. He also firmly believes Penn could win a third for one of the two performances. (He and I also agree on Depp and DiCaprio.)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Andrew's Picks
Jessica Chastain, The Tree of Life
Marion Cotillard, Midnight in Paris
Judi Dench, J. Edgar
Frances McDormand, This Must be the Place
Kate Winslet, Contagion

Kevin's Picks
Marion Cotillard, Midnight in Paris
Viola Davis, The Help
Judi Dench, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Jennifer Lawrence, Like Crazy
Naomi Watts, J. Edgar

Andrew and I agree a lot less here than we did in the other categories--my faith in The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel gives Dench her nomination here instead of for J. Edgar, which I place my faith in Watts getting her nomination for. We both agree on Marion Cotillard for Midnight in Paris, however.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Andrew's Picks
Eric Bana, Hanna
Armie Hammer, J. Edgar
Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Ides of March
Sean Penn, Tree of Life
Jim Sturgess, The Promised Land

Kevin's Picks
Armie Hammer, J. Edgar
Phillip Seymour Hoffman, The Ides of March
Ezra Miller, We Need To Talk About Kevin
Brad Pitt, The Tree of Life
Tom Wilkinson, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

See Best Actor for more on the Pitt/Penn category placement confusion. Hammer and Hoffman are our shared nominees here.

Well, that brings us to the end of our tour of Crazytown--what do you all think? What nominees are you expecting next year? Are we overlooking something obvious? Who do you place more faith in: me or Andrew? Take it to the comments!
Awkwardly posted by Kevin at 1:25 AM
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Post by Admin on Thu Mar 03, 2011 5:35 am

http://lord-of-the-films.blogspot.com/2011/03/year-in-advance-oscar-predictions.html

Year in Advance Oscar Predictions
The 83rd Annual Academy Awards were held just this past weekend and yet things are already gearing up for the 84th addition of the ceremony. We have are first real threat for nomination coming this week with Rango (which could pull of an animated feature nomination). Anyways here are my shot in the dark predictions for next year's ceremony:

BEST PICTURE
1. The Tree of Life
2. The Ides of March
3. War Horse
4. Martha Marcy May Marlene
5. Moneyball
6. The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
7. Young Adult
8. Hugo Cabret
9. A Dangerous Method
10. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part II

BEST DIRECTOR
1. Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life
2. David Fincher, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
3. George Clooney, The Ides of March
4. Steven Spielberg, War Horse
5. David Cronenberg, A Dangerous Method

BEST LEAD ACTOR
1. Ryan Gosling, The Ides of March
2. George Clooney, The Descendants
3. Michael Fassbender, A Dangerous Method
4. Michael Shannon, Take Shelter
5. Brad Pitt, The Tree of Life

BEST LEAD ACTRESS
1. Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
2. Elizabeth Olsen, Martha Marcy May Marlene
3. Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn
4. Rooney Mara, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
5. Charlize Theron, Young Adult

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Ides of March
2. John Hawkes, Martha Marcy May Marlene
3. Viggo Mortensen, A Dangerous Method
4. Sean Penn, The Tree of Life
5. Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Jessica Chastain, The Tree of Life
2. Scarlett Johansson, We Bought a Zoo
3. Shailene Woodley, The Descendants
4. Viola Davis, The Help
5. Marion Cotillard, Midnight in Paris

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1. The Ides of March
2. Moneyball
3. The Descendants
4. A Dangerous Method
5. The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1. Martha Marcy May Marlene
2. Tree of Life
3. Young Adult
4. Like Crazy
5. Midnight in Paris

BEST ANIMATED FILM
1. Kung Fu Panda 2: The Kaboom of Doom
2. Cars 2
3. Winnie the Pooh

BEST DOCUMENTARY

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
1. The Tree of Life
2. War Horse
3. The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
4. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
BEST ORIGINAL SONG

BEST FILM EDITING
1. The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
2. War Horse
3. The Tree of Life
4. The Ides of March
5. Moneyball

BEST CINEMATGORAPHY
1. The Tree of Life
2. War Horse
3. Hugo Cabret
4. The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
5. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2

BEST ART DIRECTION
1. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
2. Hugo Cabret
3. War Horse
4. Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows
5. The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
1. Hugo Cabret
2. Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows
3. War Horse
4. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
5. My Week With Marilyn

BEST MAKEUP
1. Albert Nobbs
2. Immortals
3. The Iron Lady

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
1. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
2. Transformers: Dark of the Moon
3. The Tree of Life
4. Cowboys vs. Aliens
5. Captain America

BEST SOUND MIXING
1. The Adventures of Tintin: Secret of the Unicorn
2. The Tree of Life
3. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
4. War Horse
5. The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo

BEST SOUND EDITING
1. The Adventures of Tintin: Secret of the Unicorn
2. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
3. The Tree of Life
4. Cars 2
5. Sherlock Holmes: Game of Shadows
Posted by Ryan at 10:02 PM
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Post by Admin on Sat Mar 05, 2011 11:58 pm

http://boardwalkcinema.blogspot.com/2011/03/for-your-consideration-oscar-contenders.html

Boardwalk Cinema

Reviewing the best movies in Hollywood

Saturday, March 5, 2011
For Your Consideration: Oscar Contenders 2012
Call me nuts or whatever, but I'm making my first attempt at next year's Oscar predictions already in March. Last year, I actually got pretty close to picking the actual winners and nominees, with succesfully picking Natalie Portman for Best Actress, and Christian Bale for Best Supporting Actor. Now, I'm giving the predictions thing another shot, because guess what, when Steven Spielberg announced that the winner for Best Picture is The King's Speech, my Oscar season ended, but that's not stopping me from picking next year's Oscar contenders. So, behold!

Best Picture

1. The Tree of Life (Release Date: May 27th)
Terrence Malick's first film since 2005's largely underrated The New World is currently on everyone's lips at the moment. Word on the street, it's cinema changing, and I wouldn't argue from looking at the spectacular trailer. However, there's not a chance this soon-to-be-masterpiece is winning. Why? Well, have you heard the plot??? It's all too complex for a Best Picture statue, but if they don't even nominate Tree, I swear to god, I'm boycotting the Oscars and starting a strike that was bigger than the one in 2007 with the Writer's Guild.

2. The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo (Release Date: December 21st)
How can you ever not count out Scott Rudin??? This guy delivers masterpiece after masterpiece (There Will Be Blood, The Social Network, True Grit), and there's no way that he's going to go wrong with David Fincher, this being their second collaboration together, fresh off 2010's masterpiece The Social Network. Daniel Craig is pitch-perfectly cast as Mikael Blomqvist, and now that the first pictures of the new Lisbeth Salander have surfaced, it's safe to say that Rooney Mara is in. What worries me the most though, are the Swedish accents that can sound very corny and over-the-top if everything goes wrong. But don't count this one out for Best Picture, because it actually has a shot, and yes, maybe the Academy hate remakes, but don't rule out 2006's Oscar-winning The Departed, please, and it's about time Fincher got his Oscar!

3. The Ides of March (Release Date: October)
George Clooney's first movie as director since 2005's overlooked Good Night and Good Luck is one contender I'm feeling pretty safe about. Being a politically-charged drama starring Ryan Gosling (check out Blue Valentine), George Clooney, Philip Seymour Hoffman, Paul Giamatti and Marisa Tomei, there's two words that come in my mind: Oscar-bait.

4. Hugo Cabret (Release Date: 23rd November)
Martin Scorsese expensive 3D adaptation of Brian Selznick's novel The Invention of Hugo Cabret sounds like a pretty weird choice for the man himself, but I think he's showing how diverse he is here. Having had a private screening, a source quoted it as ''The Beginning of 3D.'' Let's just hope he was right.

5. The Descendants (Release Date: TBD)
Alexander Payne's first film since 2003's hugely succesful Sideways has gotten lots of buzz around it already being Payne's first effort in eight years. The movie, starring George Clooney, follows a man who has recently lost his wife in a boating accident, as he tries to re-connect with his daughters. Following the fact that the movie is being set in Hawaii makes it all more exciting, and I can't wait for it to be released. But if it will fare well with Academy? It's got a good shot at Adapted Screenplay, but there's no way this character study will win Best Picture.

6. J. Edgar (Release Date: TBD, 2012?)
This one is a 50/50 for me about whether it will see a 2011 release date or not, but considering that Clint Eastwood is directing, I'm sure it'll see a December 2011 release. After two misfires in a row for Eastwood, J. Edgar will likely be a return to form for him, and even see DiCaprio get his first golden statue for portaying J. Edgar Hoover, and I won't even be surprised if it'll win Best Picture, which it probably will..

7. The Rum Diary (Release Date: TBD, but probably September)
This movie was supposed to come out last year, but due to Depp's busy schedule and no time to promote, they're pushing it back to this year. And believe it or not, but I've seen a cut of this film back in Orange County where it had its first screening. This is a great film that truly captures Thompson's novel and realistic dialogue, so kudos to Bruce Robinson on his comeback. But the real deal here? That would have to be the powerhouse performances from Johnny Depp and Giovanni Ribisi, who'll surprise many.

8. War Horse (Release Date: 28th December)
Steven Spelberg+war film=game on...anything else?

9. A Dangerous Method (Release Date: TBD, Cannes premiere?)
Ladies and gentleman, here's one of the strongest contenders at next year's ceremony. David Cronenberg has been snubbed countless times by the Academy for either his films being too wierd or having a tad much ultra-violence. But his year has arrived with this character study of the relationship between Sigmund Freud (Michael Fassbender), and Carl Jung (Viggo Mortensen), and how they create psychoanalysis. Starring Oscar favorites such as Keira Knightley and Mortensen, I believe that this is the year that Viggo Mortensen will finally get his long-awaited golden statue. Knightley's chances? Rather small, I'd say, and I've really started to doubt her acting abillities ever since I saw her in London Boulevard. But Fassbender has been a favorite of mine ever since I saw Inglourious Basterds, and he may as well mezmerize everyone from the critics to the Academy here.

10. The Skin That I Inhabit (Release Date: 18th November)
Pedro Almodovar's first film since Broken Embraces is a horror/revenge flick about a plastic surgeon. Come on, this is Almodovar we're talking about, and the fact that he's making his first horror film is all the more intriguing. Antonio Banderas will surely get a nod, and foreign films (not counting Basterds) haven't been up for Best Picture in so long that I can't even remember, and I believe this will be the film to break that streak.

Best Actor
Viggo Mortensen, A Dangerous Method
Antonio Banderas, The Skin That I Inhabit
Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar
Brad Piit, The Tree of Life/Moneyball
Johnny Depp, The Rum Diary

And the Oscar goes to.....Viggo Mortensen, A Dangerous Method or Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar. I'm seriously torn between these two!

Best Actress
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Rooney Mara, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Tilda Swinton, We Need To Talk About Kevin
Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn
Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs

And the Oscar goes to...Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Thisis a living legend we're talking about who should've won for her fanstastic performance in Julie & Julia two years ago. But now that she's playing Margaret Thatcher, enough is said..

Best Director:
Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life
David Fincher, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Martin Scorsese, Hugo Cabret
Steven Spielberg, War Horse
David Cronenberg, A Dangerous Method

And the Oscar goes to...Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life
A career spanning almost four decades and only four films, Malick has proven that he is a master countless times, starting with his stunning debut in 1973 with Badlands, every film he's ever made has been called a masterpiece, but in Tree, his magnum opus, it's a completely different situation.

Best Supporting Actor
Christopher Plummer, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo/Beginners
Ben Kingsley, Hugo Cabret
Michael Fassbender, A Dangerous Method
Phillip Seymour Hoffman, The Ides of March
John C. Reilly, We Need To Talk About Kevin

And the Oscar goes to....Christopher Plummer, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo

Best Supporting Actress
Naomi Watts, J. Edgar
Keira Knightley, A Dangerous Method
Jessica Chastain, The Tree of Life
Marisa Tomei, The Ides of March
Chloe Moretz, Hugo Cabret

And the Oscar goes to...Jessica Chastain, The Tree of Life

Best Original Screenplay
J. Edgar
The Tree of Life
Contagion
Midnight in Paris
My Idiot Brother

And the Oscar goes to....The Tree of Life

Best Adapted Screenplay
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
A Dangerous Method
Moneyball
The Rum Diary
The Ides of March

And the Oscar goes to...The Ides of March
Upplagd av Ken Adams kl. 11:24 AM
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Post by Admin on Tue Mar 08, 2011 9:13 pm

http://www.thekingbulletin.com/2011/03/08/looking-ahead-forecasting-the-2011-2012-oscar-contenders/

Looking Ahead: Forecasting the 2011-2012 Oscar Contenders
Posted on Tuesday, March 8, 2011 at 1:29 am by Danny King

Note: As this is my first time doing year-in-advance predictions, feel free to leave a comment below or send an e-mail if you think there are any particular films I’ve left out of my predictions. As of March 8, Best Picture is the only category I have a completed chart for, but the rest of the major categories will be added throughout the coming week.

With the 2010-2011 awards season now officially behind us, I’d like to spend some time forecasting the potential slate of contenders for next year’s Academy Awards. In this particular update, I have included my prediction charts for the eight primary Oscar categories. In the coming days and weeks, I will also attempt to clear up the contenders in the technical fields, but for now, let’s take a look at the group of films that I think could have the biggest impact on the upcoming awards season.

The Beaver: Jodie Foster’s first directorial effort in nearly twenty years, The Beaver, which has a late-May release date, looks to put the notoriously unliked Mel Gibson in a role that could showcase his emotional range. Then again, considering the daring premise, the film could just as easily become a misfire. But the impressive cast, which includes recent Oscar nominee Jennifer Lawrence, as well as Star Trek‘s Anton Yelchin, surely has the goods to wash away most of the doubts.

Cars 2: It would be unthinkable to leave Pixar’s yearly offering off of a list such as this one, but it should be quite intriguing to observe the response to this project, directed by John Lasseter and Brad Lewis. Pixar obviously had no trouble overcoming sequel obstacles with last year’s beloved Toy Story 3, but this is a different animal. With 2006′s Cars being one of Pixar’s more modestly-received efforts, it’s possible that a lack of enthusiasm for the project could hinder its awards destiny.

Contagion: This action-thriller reunites Steven Soderbergh with two principal members of his team from The Informant!: screenwriter Scott Z. Burns and star Matt Damon. Joining Damon is an absolutely stellar cast that includes Gwyneth Paltrow, Marion Cotillard, Kate Winslet, John Hawkes, Jude Law, Laurence Fishburne, and Bryan Cranston. It’s hard to bet against a film with so many powerhouse names. Soderbergh, by the way, also has Haywire on his 2011 plate.

A Dangerous Method: This is David Cronenberg’s highly-anticipated follow-up to 2007′s crime drama Eastern Promises. Viggo Mortensen, who indeed starred in Cronenberg’s last picture, will star here as Sigmund Freud, alongside Michael Fassbender, who will play Carl Jung. Keira Knightley and Vincent Cassell will fill out supporting roles in a film that is likely to feature stand-out performances across the board.


The Descendants: This marks Alexander Payne’s first feature film since 2004′s Oscar juggernaut Sideways. Based on Kaui Hart Hemmings’ 2008 novel of the same name, Payne’s film will star George Clooney in a role — as a father attempting to reconnect with his daughters — that will almost assuredly garner awards attention. Payne collaborated on the awards-destined screenplay with Nat Faxon and Jim Rush. Judy Greer and Beau Bridges fill out supporting roles.

Drive: Nicolas Winding Refn, who introduced the world to the exotic talent of Tom Hardy in 2008′s Bronson, has picked a screenplay from the Oscar-nominated Hossein Amini for his latest project. Ryan Gosling, who is bound to earn more awards attention after his Blue Valentine snub, will star alongside Carey Mulligan, Bryan Cranston, Ron Perlman, and Albert Brooks. Refn’s films, to date, haven’t received noteworthy commercial success here in the United States, but if Drive is able to appeal to a wide enough audience — and maintain critical recognition in the process — it could be the film that finally puts Refn in Oscar contention.

The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo: Due out in late-December, David Fincher’s take on the famed Stieg Larsson novel — which has been adapted this time around by Steven Zaillian — is likely to produce strong box-office results, which could help its awards chances, considering the fact that the merciless material isn’t exactly Oscar-friendly. But with The Curious Case of Benjamin Button and The Social Network, Fincher has built up a steady relationship with the Academy, and his recent loss to Tom Hooper in the Best Director category is surely something that voters won’t soon forget. Also look for Rooney Mara, leading a strong cast, to make a splash in the Best Actress race.

The Ides of March: George Clooney has rounded up a stellar cast for his latest political drama, which will feature Marisa Tomei, Ryan Gosling, Philip Seymour Hoffman, Paul Giamatti, Evan Rachel Wood, and Jeffrey Wright. Clooney’s previous directorial work, Leatherheads, was more or less a flop, but The Ides of March looks to bear much more resemblance to Clooney’s Good Night, and Good Luck., which made quite a splash at the 2006 Academy Awards.

J. Edgar: Clint Eastwood’s next film, focusing on the life of FBI director J. Edgar Hoover, will be working from a Dustin Lance Black screenplay. (Black, you’ll recall, won a Best Original Screenplay Oscar for Gus Van Sant’s Milk.) Leonardo DiCaprio, who has a handful of promising projects on the horizon — including adaptations of The Great Gatsby and The Devil in the White City — will star in the titular role. Armie Hammer, Naomi Watts, and Judi Dench round out Eastwood’s supporting cast.

Melancholia: It’s hard to imagine Lars von Trier’s name associated with Oscar, especially after the grueling nature of 2009′s Antichrist, but his follow-up, Melancholia, a sci-fi thriller, has the potential to be more accepted by a widespread audience. If anything, the film could serve as a springboard for Charlotte Gainsbourg, who didn’t receive enough formal recognition for her daring work in Antichrist. Co-star Kirsten Dunst, after an impressive turn in All Good Things, could turn a few heads herself.

Moneyball: Director Bennett Miller’s first work since Capote, based on the nonfiction book by Michael Lewis, will explore the story of Oakland A’s general manager Billy Beane, who will be played by Brad Pitt. The project, which had been bounced around for quite some time, seemed to settle in when the writing duo of Steven Zaillian and Aaron Sorkin decided to team up to adapt Lewis’ work. The surrounding cast includes Philip Seymour Hoffman, Robin Wright, and Jonah Hill.

One Day: Lone Scherfig’s follow-up to the Oscar-nominated An Education, which David Nicholls adapted from his own recent novel, is a promising romantic tale that will star Anne Hathaway, Jim Sturgess, and Patricia Clarkson. The film is slated for a mid-summer release date, which could prove troublesome in its awards journey. But An Education had an early release itself, and even though it didn’t receive any wins on Oscar night, it still earned three nominations in major categories.

The Rum Diary: Writer-director Bruce Robinson, who put forth very little work during the 2000s, has resurfaced to adapt this Hunter S. Thompson novel. And although a low-profile director doesn’t usually enter the awards game, Robinson’s noteworthy cast, which includes Johnny Depp, Amber Heard, Aaron Eckhart, Giovanni Ribisi, and Richard Jenkins, should more than make up for the lack of a household name behind the camera — that is, if Thompson delivers on his end of the bargain.

Shame: Steve McQueen’s Shame is likely to stir up plenty of controversy for its depiction of sex addiction — that is, if McQueen holds on to the penetrating intensity he displayed with Hunger, his acclaimed 2008 debut. (And based on an early poster for the film, that seems like the approach McQueen took.) The film reunites McQueen with Michael Fassbender and also features Carey Mulligan, James Badge Dale, and Hannah Ware. McQueen wrote the script along with Abi Morgan

Super 8: J.J. Abrams’ Star Trek nearly broke into the ten Best Picture nominees at the 2010 Academy Awards, but even though it didn’t, Abrams’ critical and commercial hit managed to rake in a total of four nominations. His latest project, which he also wrote, is looking at a summer release, and appears to stay true to the blockbuster persona that Abrams has developed. And the strong presence of Steven Spielberg in the producer’s chair shouldn’t hurt matters either. If the film is ultimately able to match the critical acclaim that Star Trek received, we could very well be looking at a firm contender in a ten horse race.

The Tree of Life: This long-awaited Terrence Malick film, his first since The New World (2005), received an awe-inspiring trailer back in mid-December. The principal cast members — Brad Pitt, Sean Penn, and Jessica Chastain — are all likely to find themselves in the thick of their respective races, and, despite Malick’s tendency to steer away from the public eye, if his film indeed delivers on its lofty expectations, he should have no problem entering the awards game himself. However, with a May 27 release date, it’s possible that the film may have trouble maintaining momentum throughout the awards season. At the 2010 Cannes Film Festival, you’ll recall, Mike Leigh’s Another Year was deemed an Oscar heavyweight, only to wind up with a single nomination come judgment day.

Win Win: This Tom McCarthy film, his follow-up to 2007′s The Visitor, had an impressive showing at this year’s Sundance Film Festival, and will receive a theatrical release in mid-March. It’s hard to say whether or not the film will be able to maintain its awards momentum for an entire year, but the promising trailer, as well as a cast that features Paul Giamatti, Amy Ryan, Jeffrey Tambor, Burt Young, and Melanie Lynskey, are reassuring signs that the film will resonate with voters.

Young Adult: With only three feature films under his belt, Jason Reitman has nevertheless established himself as one of today’s most formidable Oscar contenders. His two most recent films, Juno and Up in the Air, both received nominations for writing and directing, and his newest picture, Young Adult, looks to follow in those footsteps. The film will reunite Reitman with Diablo Cody, the Oscar-winning scribe of Juno. Charlize Theron and Patrick Wilson, who headline the cast, have the potential to make strong cases in the acting categories.

Now, let’s take a look at my ordered predictions in each category, beginning with Best Picture. It should be interesting to look back at these come early 2012.
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Post by Admin on Thu Mar 10, 2011 11:01 pm

http://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/2011/03/oscar-2012-contenders-so-far-rango-and.html

9.3.11
Oscar 2012 contenders so far: "Rango" and "Jane Eyre"

Genre: Animation; Action/Adventure; Comedy; Family;
Director: Gore Verbinski
Starring: Johnny Depp, Abigail Breslin and Alfred Molina
Release date: 4th March, 2011

"A CGI western comedy populated by desert critters, Rango gives the film year a belated jump start with a passel of movie-wise fun and a knockout animation style"
by Richard Corliss in TIME Magazine
"A sun-baked symphony of rust and dust, Rango has a spiky, unsentimental appeal, sending out slightly risque jokes to parents while staying safely out of the danger zone for kids."
by Ann Hornaday in Washington Post
"An ultra-quirky animated Western with a vocal tour de force by Johnny Depp that's quite unlike anything I've ever seen."
by Lou Lumeninick in New York Post

Oscar potential categories:
Best Animated Feature
Best Sound Editing
Best Sound Mixing



Genre: Drama; Romance;
Director: Cary Fukunaga
Starring: Mia Wasikowska, Michael Fassbender, Judi Dench, Sally Hawkins and Jamie Bell
Release date: 11th March, 2011

"Wasikowska is flawless, complex, the most self-possessed Jane ever, and Fassbender the most romantic Rochester in a glorious film that embraces Bronte's wildest emotions."
by Caryn James in James onscreenS
"Wasikowska's Jane is as watchful as only a damaged soul can be, and, when challenged, frighteningly fast. Fassbender plays Rochester as a wolf caught in a trap and dangerously unpredictable."
by David Eldenstein in New York Magazine
"Unadorned to the point of physical ordinariness and with copper-colored hair generally pulled back severely, Wasikowska must convey everything about Jane from her posture, the look in her eyes and the tone of her voice."
by Todd McCarthy in Hollywood Reporter

Oscar potential categories:
Best Leading Actress (Mia Wasikowska)
Best Costume Design
Publicada por Ed. P. em 7:42 AM
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Post by Admin on Tue Mar 15, 2011 10:05 pm

http://julianstark-moviesandotherthings.blogspot.com/2011/03/2011-oscar-predictions-best-actor-in_15.html

Tuesday, March 15, 2011
2011 Oscar Predictions: Best Actor in a Leading Role
I’d think that Leonardo has the upper hand at this point, but Antonio Banderas could sneak up from behind and take it.

CURRENT PREDICTIONS
THE TOP FIVE
1. leonardo dicaprio (j. edgar) – Could this be DiCaprio’s time to shine? It’s the perfect role to make it happen. Of course, I thought the same thing last year…
2. antonio banderas (the skin THAT i inhabit) – This film sees director Pedro Almodovar returning to his male muse Antonio Banderas. Could the Academy finally give him a nomination?
3. Dominic Cooper (The Devil’s Double) – Biopic role that is HEAVY Oscar bait. Will it have the necessary traction?
4. sean penn (the tree of life) – A two-time winner in Terrence Malick’s highly anticipated film. The film needs to take off without a hitch, but will that happen? An early release really hurts, and the Academy has yet to nominate a Malick-guided performance.
5. COLIN FIRTH (The PROMISED LAND) – There’s usually at least one “afterglow” nod (i.e. previous winner making the cut again). Could this be it?
THE NEXT FIVE…
6. George Clooney (The Descendants) – It’s a baity enough role, and Clooney is an Academy favorite. Plus he’s got The Ides of March as well. Remember how he got an acting nod – and win – in 2005 for Syriana when he also starred in and directed Good Night, and Good Luck? It could happen…
7. Ryan Gosling (The Ides of March) – Arguably snubbed last year for Blue Valentine, this political thriller could get Gosling his second nomination.
8. Tom Hanks (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close) – It’s been more than a decade since the Academy nominated him. Will he get back in voters’ good graces with this baity role? If the film follows the book at all, he won’t actually be a lead, but we all know how studio campaigns work when the true lead is a youngster *coughs* Hailee Steinfeld
9. Matt Damon (We Bought a Zoo) – He’s adored in Hollywood and this could be a big hit with audiences and critics alike.
10. Sam Riley (On the Road) – Riley’s an unknown, but he’s also leading the adaptation of Jack Kerouac’s seminal prose. Don’t count him out.
KEEP AN EYE OUT FOR…
11. Michael Fassbender (A Dangerous Method)
12. Christoph Waltz (Carnage)
13. John C. Reilly (Carnage)
14. Ralph Fiennes (Coriolanus)
15. Christian Bale (The 13 Women of Nanjing)
16. Jim Sturgess (One Day)
17. Gary Oldman (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy)
18. Michael Fassbender (Shame)
19. Matt Damon (Contagion)
20. Brad Pitt (Moneyball)

MAJOR CONTENDERS
Marshall Allman (Blue Like Jazz)
Antonio Banderas (The Skin I Inhabit)
Gerard Butler (Coriolanus)
Steve Carell (Crazy, Stupid, Love.)
George Clooney (The Descendants)
Dominic Cooper (The Devil’s Double)
Daniel Craig (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)
John Cusack (The Raven)
John Cusack (Shanghai)
Matt Damon (Contagion)
Matt Damon (We Bought a Zoo)
Leonardo DiCaprio (J. Edgar)
Dennis Farina (The Last Rites of Joe May)
Michael Fassbender (A Dangerous Method)
Michael Fassbender (Shame)
Ralph Fiennes (Coriolanus)
Travis Fimmel (The Big Valley)
Colin Firth (The Promised Land)
James Franco (The Broken Tower)
Ryan Gosling (The Ides of March)
Tom Hanks (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
Tom Hanks (Larry Crowne)
Jeremy Irvine (War Horse)
Philip Seymour Hoffman (Americana)
Matthew Macfayden (The Promised Land)
James McAvoy (The Conspirator)
Gary Oldman (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy)
Sean Penn (The Tree of Life)
Brad Pitt (Moneyball)
Jeremy Piven (Angels Crest)
John C. Reilly (Carnage)
Giovanni Ribisi (Waco)
Sam Riley (On the Road)
Seth Rogen (Take This Waltz)
Michael Shannon (The Iceman)
Michael Sheen (Jesus Henry Christ)
Sam Shepard (Blackthorn)
Jim Sturgess (Heartless)
Jim Sturgess (One Day)
Jim Sturgess (The Promised Land)
Jim Sturgess (Upside Down)
Christoph Waltz (Carnage)
Marlon Wayans (Richard Pryor: Is It Something I Said?)
Patrick Wilson (Young Adult)
Anton Yelchin (Like Crazy)

IN THE RUNNING
Antonio Banderas (Black Gold)
Justin Bartha (Dark Horse)
Jamie Campbell Bower (Anonymous)
Asa Butterfield (Hugo Cabret)
Vincent Cassel (The Monk)
Tyler Chase (Grey Matter)
Kevin Costner (A Little War of Our Own)
Johnny Depp (The Rum Diary)
Robert Downey Jr. (Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows)
Dan Fogler (Number 13)
Rupert Grint (Eddie the Eagle)
Bill Hader (The Skeleton Twins)
Kellan Lutz (A Warrior’s Heart)
Ewan McGregor (Beginners)
Michael Parks (Red State)
Robert Pattinson (Bel Ami)
Robert Pattinson (Water for Elephants)
Brad Pitt (Moneyball)
Paul Rudd (Wanderlust)
Michael Shannon (Take Shelter)
Michael Sheen (Beautiful Boy)
Mark Strong (Black Gold)
Justin Theroux (Wanderlust)
Posted by Julian Stark at 3:12 PM
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Post by Admin on Sun Mar 20, 2011 7:27 pm

http://timeslikethose.wordpress.com/2011/03/19/ridiculously-early-2012-oscar-predictions/

Ridiculously Early 2012 Oscar Predictions

March 19, 2011

Last year around this time, I took a stab in the dark at some super early Oscar predictions. They actually turned out better than I’d expected (I guessed four out of the five eventual Best Actress nominees, and also predicted David O. Russell, Colin Firth, Christian Bale, and Amy Adams for nominations), so I thought I’d try again this year. I’m hoping to do a bit better than 4/10 in the Best Picture category, and maybe get a few more right in the acting categories, too. Maybe The Tree of Life will finally pan out for me this year.

Category placement is also messing with me this year. Are Mortensen, Fassbender, and Knightley all co-leads in A Dangerous Method? What about the mega-cast of Contagion? And do Carey Mulligan (Shame) and Christopher Plummer (Beginners) count as lead or supporting?

(NOTE: I’m currently hedging my bets that J. Edgar and Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close will not be released this year. Both are listed on IMDB as 2012 releases currently, and though that’s obviously not a definite indicator, by my experience, movies don’t usually come out earlier than expected.)

Best Picture

A Dangerous Method

The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2

Hugo Cabret

The Ides of March

Like Crazy

Moneyball

The Tree of Life

War Horse

Young Adult

Other Possibilities: Shame, On the Road, Contagion, We Bought a Zoo, The Impossible, The Skin That I Inhabit

Best Director

David Cronenberg – A Dangerous Method

David Fincher – The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

Terrence Malick – The Tree of Life

Martin Scorsese – Hugo Cabret

Stephen Spielberg – War Horse

Other Possibilities: Bennett Miller (Moneyball), George Clooney (The Ides of March), Jason Reitman (Young Adult), Steve McQueen (Shame), Cameron Crowe (We Bought a Zoo), The Skin that I Inhabit (Pedro Almodovar), David Yates (Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2), Steven Soderbergh (Contagion)

Best Actor

Antonio Banderas – The Skin That I Inhabit

George Clooney – The Descendants

Ryan Gosling – The Ides of March

Gary Oldman – Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy

Brad Pitt – The Tree of Life

Other Possibilities: Brad Pitt (Moneyball), Michael Fassbender (A Dangerous Method or Shame), Matt Damon (We Bought a Zoo), Daniel Craig (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo), Woody Harrelson (Rampart), Johnny Depp (The Rum Diary), George Clooney (The Ides of March), Tahar Rahim (Black Gold), Michael Shannon (Take Shelter or The Iceman)

Best Actress

Glen Close – Albert Nobbs

Felicity Jones – Like Crazy

Meryl Steep – The Iron Lady

Tilda Swinton – We Need to Talk About Kevin

Charlize Theron – Young Adult

Other Possibilities: Emily Blunt (Salmon Fishing in the Yemen), Keira Knightley (A Dangerous Method), Michelle Williams (My Week with Marilyn), Kirsten Dunst (Melancholia), Rooney Mara (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo), Charlotte Gainsboug (Melancholia), Elizabeth Olsen (Martha Marcy May Marlene), Emily Watson (Oranges and Sunshine), Linda Cardellini (Return)

Best Supporting Actor

Paul Giamatti – The Ides of March

Philip Seymour Hoffman – Moneyball

Viggo Mortensen – A Dangerous Method

Sean Penn – The Tree of Life

Christopher Plummer – Beginners

Other Possibilities: Aaron Eckhart (The Rum Diary), Jim Broadbent (The Iron Lady), Tom Hardy (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy), Jude Law (Contagion), John Hawkes (Martha Marcy May Marlene), Christopher Plummer (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo), Ben Kingsley (Hugo Cabret)

Best Supporting Actress

Jessica Chastain – The Tree of Life

Carey Mulligan – Shame

Kristen Scott Thomas – Salmon Fishing in the Yemen

Emily Watson – War Horse

Robin Wright – Moneyball

Other Possibilities: Marisa Tomei (The Ides of March), Kate Winslet (Contagion), Marion Cotillard (Contagion), Mia Wasikowska (Albert Nobbs), Robin Wright (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo or Rampart), Judy Greer (The Descendants), Viola Davis (The Help)
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Post by Admin on Sun Mar 20, 2011 7:38 pm

http://community.livejournal.com/thankyouacademy/44802.html

2011 Potential Oscar Movies

Super Early Predictions for Next Year's Oscars

First of all, congratulations to Lord of the Rings: ROTK for winning the Best Picture tournament. Although I realize this is probably the movie that nearly everyone has seen and is relatively recent, which likely contributed to its success in the tournament. But still, not an easy feat. Since that's over, time to get an early start on next year's potential Oscar line-up.

Best Picture

The Tree of Life (Malick)
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo (Cincher)
Contagion (Soderbergh)
A Dangerous Method (Cronenberg)
The Invention of Hugo Cabret (Scorsese)
The Descendants (Payne)
The Ides of March (Clooney)
J. Edger (Eastwood)
My Week with Marilyn (Curtis)
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy (Alfredson)
War Horse (Spielberg)
Young Adult (Reitman)
Midnight in Paris (Allen)
Moneyball (Miller)
Iron Lady (Lloyd)
Hanna (Wright)
Wuthering Heights (Arnold)
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (Daldry)
Beginners (Mills)
The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (Spielberg)
Super 8 (Abrams)
Jane Eyre (Fukunaga)
Martha Marcy May Marlene (Durkin)
Meek's Cutoff (Reichardt)
Melancholia (Von Trier)
The Skin I Live In (Almodovar)
One Day (Scherfig)
On the Road (Salles)
Shame (McQueen)
Albert Nobbs (Garcia)
Take This Waltz (Polley)
We Need to Talk About Kevin (Ramsay)
Coriolanus (Fiennes)

God of Carnage is apparently set for a July 2012 release so it's not included here

Best Actor

Ryan Gosling, The Ides of March
George Clooney, The Descendants
Brad Pitt, Moneyball
Brad Pitt, The Tree of Life
Leonardo Dicaprio, J. Edgar
Michael Fassbender, A Dangerous Method
Michael Fassbender, Shame
Antonia Banderas, The Skin I Live In
Gary Oldman, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Matt Damon, We Bought a Zoo
Ewan McGregor, Beginners
Michael Shannon, Take Shelter
Joseph Gordon-Levitt, Live with It
Johnny Depp, The Rum Diary
Owen Wilson, Midnight in Paris

Best Actress

Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
Meryl Streep, Iron Lady
Anne Hathaway, One Day
Elizabeth Olsen, Martha Marcy May Marlene
Keira Knightley, A Dangerous Method
Rooney Mara, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
Charlize Theron, Young Adult
Michelle Williams, My Week with Marilyn
Michelle Williams, Meek's Cutoff
Michelle Williams, Take This Waltz
Kirsten Dunst, Melancholia
Rachel McAdams, Midnight in Paris
Saoirse Ronan, Hanna
Mia Wasikowska, Jane Eyre
Rachel Weisz, The Whistleblower
Rachel Weisz, The Deep Blue Sea

Best Supporting Actor

Viggo Mortensen, A Dangerous Method
Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Ides of March
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Moneyball
Ben Kingsley, Hugo Cabret
Jude Law, Contagion
Matt Damon, Contagion
Kenneth Branagh, My Week with Marilyn
Jim Broadbent, The Iron Lady
David Thewlis, War Horse
Nicolas Bro, War Horse
John Hawkes, Martha Marcy May Marlene
Sean Penn, The Tree of Life
Tom Hardy, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Christoph Waltz, Water for Elephants

Best Supporting Actress

Vanessa Redgrave, Coriolanus
Amy Adams, On the Road
Viola Davis, The Help
Octavia Spencer, The Help
Marisa Tomei, The Ides of March
Evan Rachel Wood, The Ides of March
Jessica Chastain, The Tree of Life
Jessica Chastain, Take Shelter
Marion Cotillard, Midnight in Paris
Emily Watson, War Horse
Judi Dench, My Week with Marilyn
Julia Ormond, My Week with Marilyn
Carey Mulligan, Shame
Robin Wright, Moneyball
Melanie Laurent, Beginners
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Post by Admin on Tue Mar 29, 2011 3:25 am

http://notesfromaviewer.blogspot.com/2011/03/first-2011-predictions.html

Monday, March 28, 2011
First 2011 Predictions
These will be inaccurate, but here we go:

Best Picture:
--“Beginners”
--“A Dangerous Method”
--“The Descendants”
--“The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo”
--“Hugo Cabret”
--“J. Edgar”
--“The Ides of March”
--“Moneyball”
--“The Tree of Life”
--“War Horse”

Best Director:
--David Cronenberg, “A Dangerous Method”
--Clint Eastwood, “J. Edgar”
--Terrence Malick, “The Tree of Life”
--Martin Scorsese, “Hugo Cabret”
--Steven Spielberg, “War Horse”

Best Actor:
--George Clooney, “The Descendants”
--Leonardo DiCaprio, “J. Edgar”
--Michael Fassbender, “A Dangerous Method”
--Ryan Gosling, “The Ides of March”
--Brad Pitt, “Moneyball”

Best Supporting Actor:
--Armie Hammer, “J. Edgar”
--John Hawkes, “Martha Marcy May Marlene”
--Philip Seymour Hoffman, “The Ides of March”
--Viggo Mortensen, “A Dangerous Method”
--Christopher Plummer, “Beginners”

Best Actress:
--Glenn Close, “Albert Nobbs”
--Rooney Mara, “The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo”
--Elizabeth Olsen, “Martha Marcy May Marlene”
--Meryl Streep, “The Iron Lady”
--Michelle Williams, “My Week with Marilyn”

Best Supporting Actress:
--Jessica Chastain, “The Tree of Life”
--Viola Davis, “The Help”
--Keira Knightley, “A Dangerous Method”
--Vanessa Redgrave, “Coriolanus”
--Naomi Watts, “J. Edgar”

Best Adapted Screenplay:
--“A Dangerous Method”
--“The Descendants”
--“The Ides of March”
--“Moneyball”
--“We Bought a Zoo”

Best Original Screenplay:
--“Beginners”
--“J. Edgar”
--“Larry Crowne”
--“The Tree of Life”
--“Young Adult”

These are posted in the sidebar as well. This post is mainly to keep a record of what my first predictions were, since the sidebar predictions will change frequently.
Posted by Josh at 7:55 AM
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Post by Admin on Sun Apr 03, 2011 5:36 pm

http://bittergrace.wordpress.com/2011/04/03/2011-a-year-in-film-prologue/

2011: A Year in Film Prologue

Yeah, I suppose I should finish my 2010 list first but Photoshop is mostly disagreeing with me. So. I thought it’d be fun to see how well I can predict this year’s Oscar race.

After all, it’s a very exciting year for film with the return of a LOT of quote/unquote great directors: Scorsese, Spielberg, Cronenberg, Fincher, Eastwood, Almodovar, Soderbergh, Allen, Crowe, Payne, Von Trier, Salles, Polanski; Academy favorites Daldry, Reitman, Clooney; indie darlings Tomas Alfredson, Duncan Jones, Lynne Ramsay, Andrea Arnold, Cary Fukunaga, Kelly Reichardt, Steve McQueen and my personal loves Terrence Malick, Sarah Polley, Tarsem Singh and Wong Kar Wai. Just looking at that list of names makes me very happy. And I may even be forgetting a few. At the very least, the director race is going to be a nail-biter. Thankfully, no Tom Hoopers here. but of course, that’s debatable. XD

okay, so. exciting year. (as always, there are a few films with uncertain release dates–Daldry’s Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close and Polanski’s God of Carnage might be pushed to 2012 but we’ll see. In the meantime, let’s just assume they’re all getting released in time). I’ll just do the major ones namely: Picture, Director, Actor, Actress because I’ve been trying to make up my mind about screenplay and it’s just not happening. lol. anyway, here’s goes…

Best Picture
1. J. Edgar, Clint Eastwood
2. The Ides of March, George Clooney
3. War Horse, Steven Spielberg
4. The Tree of Life, Terrence Malick
5. Hugo Cabret, Martin Scorsese
6. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, David Fincher
7. Young Adult, Jason Reitman
8. The Iron Lady, Phyllida Lloyd
9. A Dangerous Method, David Cronenberg
10. Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close, Stephen Daldry

alternates:
We Need to Talk About Kevin, Lynne Ramsay
On the Road, Walter Salles
Moneyball, Bennett Miller
Super 8, JJ Abrams
God of Carnage, Roman Polanski
Martha Marcy May Marlene, Sean Durkin

movies I’d want to be nominated but probably won’t:
Take this Waltz, Sarah Polley
Meek’s Cutoff, Kelly Reichardt
Shame, Steve McQueen
Melancholia, Lars von Trier
Wuthering Heights, Andrea Arnold

Some internet predictions are already putting Terrence Malick’s Tree of Life as this year’s Best Picture front-runner but has the Academy ever loved atmospheric, existentialist pieces? They’re never really kind to movies they don’t understand. But at the very least it’ll get nominations (and hopefully wins?) for the long overdue Alexandre Desplat (original score) and Emmanuelle Lubezki (cinematography.) I mean Children of Men and The New World are two of the most memorably shot films in history, if not the best of the decade. And have you seen the trailer? Gorgeous isn’t a good enough word to describe it.

other possible nominations: best original screenplay, best director, best supporting actor (Sean Penn), best supporting actress (Jessica Chastain), best visual effects (rumor has it there’ll be dinosaurs y’all. Dinosaurs!)

~

Best Director
1. Clint Eastwood, J. Edgar
2. Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life
3. George Clooney, The Ides of March
4. Steven Spielberg, War Horse
5. David Fincher, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

alternates:
er, see the intro of this post

people I’d want to be nominated but probably won’t:
women :/

gosh, it was almost impossible to pick. I almost want to predict Daldry but with so many names, his record of Oscar noms will probably be broken. I’m crossing my fingers that they finally give Fincher the Oscar as an apology for him losing to Hooper (it still hurts, dammit!) but then it means Malick won’t get it. oh, the dilemma.

~

Best Actor
1. Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar
2. Ryan Gosling, The Ides of March
3. Michael Fassbender, A Dangerous Method
4. Brad Pitt, The Tree of Life
5. Johnny Depp, The Rum Diary

alternates:
Michael Shannon, Take Shelter
Ralph Fiennes, Coriolanus
George Clooney, The Descendants

people I’d want to be nominated but probably won’t:
Michael Fassbender, Shame
Michael Fassbender, Jane Eyre
Michael Fassbender, X-men First Class (lol, jk.)
Tony Leung Chiu Wai, The Grand Master

It’s the year of Michael Fassbender, obviously, with 6 movies coming out he has to be nominated for at least one thing. Everything points to a nod for playing Jung in David Cronenberg’s A Dangerous Method (likewise his fellow actors Viggo Mortensen and Keira Knightley.) I’m guessing right now he’ll be lead but we’ll see. Of course the race will probably between the long-overdue-but-at-least-he’s-not-a-grieving-widower-this-time Leonardo DiCaprio and the-greatest-actor-of-his-generation-who-was-ridiculously-snubbed-last-year Ryan Gosling.

Best Actress
1. Meryl Streep, Iron Lady
2. Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
3. Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
4. Rooney Mara, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
5. Michelle Williams, My Week with Marilyn

alternates:
Keira Knightley, A Dangerous Method
Charlize Theron, Young Adult
Rachel Weisz, The Whistleblower
Sandra Bullock, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close

person I’d want to be nominated but probably won’t:
Abbie Cornish, W.E.

Is it wishful thinking putting Tilda Swinton up there? Her best work’s been consistently snubbed the past 2 years (Julia, I am Love). But she’s TILDA SWINTON so she probably doesn’t need another Oscar anyway. The front-runner is obviously Meryl Streep with Glenn Close, um, close behind. Rooney Mara has a role of a lifetime in Lisbeth Salander so unless she’s epically bad at it then she’ll probably get at least a nom.

And speaking of snubs that still hurt, Abbie Cornish needs better movies. Give her better movies, Hollywood!

Etc…

Tarsem Singh has always made visually stunning films (The Cell, The Fall) so maybe Immortals will finally have the Academy taking notice. I’ll be glad if Sarah Polley at least gets a screenplay nod for Take this Waltz. Another movie I’d like to get a screenplay nod: Crazy, Stupid, Love. If Hollywood stops being ageist then strong>Christopher Plummer (Beginners) and Vanessa Redgrave (Coriolanus) have the supporting race in the bag. And finally, I’m hoping Wong Kar-Wai’s The Grand Master wins Best Foreign Film. But that’s just me being biased. XD

This entry was posted on 3 April 2011
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Post by Admin on Wed Apr 06, 2011 8:57 pm

http://afistfuloffilms.blogspot.com/2011/04/my-official-april-2011-oscar.html

Wednesday, April 6, 2011
My Official (April) 2011 Oscar Predictions!
Okay, so this is going to be a work in progress, and it'll (I'm sure) change a lot over the year, since, well, we don't know ANYTHING at this point...but it's always fun to predict this far in advance, since it gives us a chance to see how much we think we know versus how much we actually 'get'. So, judging from the films slated for release this year, and a few slated for next year that I assume will get pushed to this Oscar season (J. Edgar is already filming, and Eastwood works FAST...and there is no way that Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close is going to miss the ten year anniversary of 9/11), I've compiled what I think will happen at the Kodak Theater next year.

But I'm probably wrong.

Best Picture:
Carnage
A Dangerous Method
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
The Ides of March
J. Edgar
Moneyball
Super 8
The Tree of Life
War Horse

I know that this seems almost too prestige and serious, but the films slated look so good it's almost foolish not to predict them. I just don't know who to drop, and while I assume that an animated film will sneak in every year that the 'ten nominee' field stands, I just can't think of which one could (Cars 2 is not happening). I may be over-predicting certain films (The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo and Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close) but I just really see them doing very well this year.

The one film I wish I had room for was Contagion.

Best Director:
David Cronenberg/A Dangerous Method
Stephen Daldry/Extremely Closer and Incredibly Loud
Clint Eastwood/J. Edgar
David Fincher/The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Terrance Malick/The Tree of Life

I'm not sure what to think of The Invention of Hugo Cabret and it's chances, but a lot of my friends think that Scorsese is going to be nominated. I'm not so sure. In fact, the one that I was aching to predict but left off because there just isn't enough room for everyone was George Clooney. Heck, Soderbergh is also a possibility if Contagion gets a Best Picture nomination. And what of J.J. Abrams? If Super 8 is a smash, he could find himself nominated; but then again, they denied Christopher Nolan.

Lead Actor:
Daniel Craig/The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Leonardo DiCaprio/J. Edgar
Michael Fassbender/A Dangerous Method
Ryan Gosling/The Ides of March
Gary Oldman/Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy

I don't know why I seem to be the ONLY person prediction Daniel Craig, but if the film is big (which I assume it will be) it seems like the perfect opportunity to nominate someone who has yet to be embraced by The Academy. Fassbender, Gosling, Oldman...they seem like surefire runnerups to Leonardo DiCaprio, who is bound to win the thing this year (Eastwood + Real Person + OVERDUE = Oscar). This lineup almost seems too obvious, but in this category that is usually how things fall. Sure, Craig is my weakest link, but I'm going to hold onto it (I said it first!).

Lead Actress:
Glenn Close/Albert Nobbs
Rooney Mara/The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Elizabeth Olsen/Martha Marcy May Marlene
Meryl Streep/The Iron Lady
Michelle Williams/My Week with Marilyn

I've said all I need to say about this race here, so read up.


Supporting Actor:
Kenneth Branagh/My Week With Marilyn
Nicolas Bro/War Horse
Viggo Mortensen/A Dangerous Method
Christopher Plummer/Beginners
Christoph Waltz/Carnage

I don't know what the hell to think about this category. I feel pretty good about predicting Bro, since early word is that he has the meatiest supporting role, and I'm sure that the film will net at least one acting nomination. It's been too long since Branagh has been in the race, and this role seems tailor made for his acting style. Mortensen will be co-lead, so you know he'll be demoted to this category so as not to take votes from Fassbender. If Carnage is a big hit, then it'll net some acting nominations, and Waltz seem ideal considering the character and the fact that he'll be co-lead as well. Plummer has a PLUM role, and he's recently been accepted by The Academy, so I see them wanting to embrace him again.
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Post by Admin on Sun Apr 10, 2011 9:24 pm

http://thefilmexperience.net/blog/2011/4/10/april-foolish-predictions-complete-actress-picture.html

April Foolish Predictions Complete: Actress & Picture
DateSunday, April 10, 2011 at 3:20PM

So my "April Foolish" Oscar Predictions are now complete. I rejiggered two tech predictions once I finally decided on my ten Best Pictures but honestly, any combo of the top 20 listed seems just as plausible as any other so long as the obvious get, War Horse, is there. (It's practically as obvious as The King's Speech was a year out.) We won't know until January how well I did but it's exciting this far out when anything seems possible yes?

BEST PICTURE
I didn't expect to get so fully behind Super 8 but sometimes your own predictions surprise you once you have to work every category out. My wishful thinking pick is David Cronenberg's psychoanalytic period drama A Dangerous Method which is a big old question mark for a number of reasons. But my hunch is that Viggo Mortensen, Michael Fassbender and Keira Knightley will all bring it which will heat up the material which is already sexual conceptually speaking since it's about Freud and Jung. But Cronenberg has never been to the Academy's liking so I'm probably wrong. My wildcard guess -- as in something that's not an obvious contender -- is Oren Moverman's Rampart, a police corruption drama. This film will have the same challenge as My Week With Marilyn in that it will only win real Oscar traction if it feels much larger or more mythic than a telefilm on the same material since both cover topics that have been dramatized on television many times: cop dramas and Marilyn Monroe respectively. My guess for Smallest Nomination Tally But still Best Pic competitor is We Bought a Zoo (just a hunch). My guess for Film With Most Noms That Doesn't Get Nominated For Best Picture (whew) which was Alice in Wonderland last year and Nine the year before (i think?) is The Adventures of TinTin: The Secret of the Unicorn but if I'm wrong on that, I feel certain it'll be Hugo Cabret.

QUESTIONS FOR YOU:
Which film am I greatly overestimating?
Which movie am I greatly underestimating?
Where am I Goldilocks "just right"?
I'll admit I had NO idea what to make of Moneyball. You?
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Post by Admin on Sun Jul 03, 2011 8:51 pm

http://yourmoviebuddy.blogspot.com/2011/07/christmas-in-july-halfway-best-of-2011.html

Sunday, July 3, 2011
Christmas in July: The (Halfway) Best of 2011
It's July. Half of 2011 is gone. Time to round up the best of what we've seen. I honestly thought I'd have many more beloved contenders at this point (I certainly did last year), but such is life. Sometimes the gold is scattered, and sometimes it's simply scarce. (And I don't want to sound like a whiner, but there's even a handful of things below I'm not all that nuts about.)

But let's not focus on that! Positivity, positivity. Here are my thus-far faves of 2011, in handy Oscar-ish categories. A few of them are bound to make it to the December home stretch:

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Marion Cotillard,
"Midnight in Paris"
Melissa McCarthy,
"Bridesmaids"
Wendy McClendon-Covey,
"Bridesmaids"
Amy Ryan, "Win Win"
Juno Temple, "Kaboom"

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR (do not adjust your sets!)

Michael Fassbender,
"Jane Eyre"
Bruce Greenwood,
"Meek's Cutoff"
John Krasinski,
"Something Borrowed"
Christopher Plummer, "Beginners"
Mark Strong, "Green Lantern"



BEST ACTRESS

Juliette Binoche,
"Certified Copy"
Mia Wasikowska, "Jane Eyre"
Kristen Wiig, "Bridesmaids"
Michelle Williams,
"Meek's Cutoff"


BEST ACTOR (easily the weakest bunch)

Mel Gibson, "The Beaver"
Hamish Linklater, "The Future"
William Shimell,
"Certified Copy"





BEST DIRECTOR

Miranda July, "The Future"
Abbas Kiarostami,
"Certified Copy"
Terrence Malick,
"The Tree of Life"
Kelly Reichardt, "Meek's Cutoff"



BEST SCREENPLAY

Miranda July, "The Future"
Abbas Kiarostami,
"Certified Copy"
Tom McCarthy, "Win Win"
Mike Mills, "Beginners"
Jonathan Raymond,
"Meek's Cutoff"
Kristen Wiig and Annie Mumolo, "Bridesmaids"




BEST PICTURE

"Bridesmaids"
"Certified Copy"
"The Future"
"Meek's Cutoff"
"The Tree of Life"

(Special mention for "Page One: Inside the New York Times," which I currently have a semi-irrational crush on. Review coming soon!)

If you're reading this, what have I missed that could really beef up these lists? At the top of my must-see queue at the moment are "Incendies," "City of Life and Death" and "Cave of Forgotten Dreams."
Posted by Kurtis O at 4:11 AM
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Post by Admin on Mon Jul 04, 2011 11:09 pm

http://blogs.indiewire.com/thelostboy/archives/if_there_were_oscars_for_the_first_half_of_the_year/

If There Were Oscars For The First Half of The Year…

Here’s a fun little fantasy game (at least if you’re an Oscar geek): Predicting the non-existent mid-year Oscars, which would only nominate films that were released through June 30th (note: these are not personal preferences, but only what I’d imagine Oscar would pick if this somehow magically existed).

Best Picture:
Beginners
Hanna
Jane Eyre
Midnight in Paris
Rango
Super 8
The Tree of Life
Win Win

-the rest after the jump-

Best Director:
J.J. Abrams, Super 8
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Cary Fukunaga, Jane Eyre
Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life
Joe Wright, Hanna

Best Actor:
Rob Brydon, The Trip
Steve Coogan, The Trip
Paul Giamatti, Win Win
Ewan McGregor, Beginners
Owen Wilson, Midnight in Paris

Best Actress:
Juliette Binoche, Certified Copy
Saoirse Ronan, Hanna
Mia Wasikowska, Jane Eyre
Kristin Wiig, Bridesmaids
Robin Wright, The Conspirator

Best Supporting Actor:
Michael Fassbender, Jane Eyre
Bruce Greenwood, Meek’s Cutoff
Hunter McCracken, The Tree of Life
Brad Pitt, The Tree of Life
Christopher Plummer, Beginners

Best Supporting Actress:
Jessica Chastain, The Tree of Life
Marion Cotillard, Midnight in Paris
Melanie Laurent, Beginners
Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids
Amy Ryan, Win Win

Best Original Screenplay:
Beginners
Bridesmaids
Midnight in Paris
Rango
Win Win

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Cars 2
Jane Eyre
The Trip
Water For Elephants
X-Men: First Class

thelostboy posted to Awards Season at 5:23 pm on June 29, 2011
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Post by Admin on Mon Jul 04, 2011 11:12 pm

http://www.filmmisery.com/?p=7585

OSCAR TRACKER: Best Actor and Actress Predictions 2012

Wednesday, June 29, 2011 3 Comments
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According to the official countdown at The Film Experience we are 209 days away from the announcement of the Academy Award nominations. There are six months left in the 2011 cinematic season and chances are very good that none of the Oscar nominated performances have been seen yet. Last year only three of the ten Best Actor and Actress nominations came from movies that were released before July 1st, and in 2009 it was only one of the ten.

If you have taken a look at last week’s Oscar predictions, you will notice that only two of the top ten Best Actor potentials is from a film that anybody has seen and those are Michael Shannon of Take Shelter and Anton Yelchin of Like Crazy which have only been seen by Sundance audiences. On the Actress side there is Tilda Swinton and Kirsten Dunst who got raves at Cannes for their performances in We Need to Talk About Kevin and Melancholia. However, only Juliette Binoche of Certified Copy makes it into the top ten for a movie that has been released to the public, and that is primarily wishful thinking.

The rest of the actors and actresses that fill out this prediction are pure conjecture. Let’s break them down, shall we?

Best Actor Oscar Predictions 2012

1) Michael Fassbender – A Dangerous Method

If 2011 belongs to any actor, it has to be the remarkably talented Michael Fassbender, who will be seen in six…SIX movies this year. We have already enjoyed him in Jane Eyre and X-Men: First Class and he is slated for Steve McQueen’s Shame and Steven Soderbergh’s Haywire in the second half of the year. However, the one place he is most likely to get recognized by the Academy is his performance as Carl Jung in David Cronenberg’s A Dangerous Method. Real-life character, period piece, and a layered performance. He does not appear to have any Oscar-baity gimmicks, but if the Academy is paying attention this year they will have to recognize Fassbender.

2) George Clooney – The Descendants

Alexander Payne’s last movie Sideways earned two Oscar nominations for Thomas Hayden Church and Virginia Madsen. Before that his movie About Schmidt earned two nominations for Jack Nicholson and Kathy Bates. If there is one thing that Payne has proven effective at, it is getting his performers Oscar nominations. George Clooney is on a similar role with Oscar nominations coming 3 of the last 5 years. This combination should be a no-brainer.

3) Leonardo DiCaprio – J. Edgar

This is probably the one that I put down that I am least assured of. DiCaprio is excellent and has been recognized for his collaborations with Scorcese. This is his first time in a Clint Eastwood movie and with a real-life performance of a super-gimmicky character, it should gain the Academy’s attention. However, Eastwood’s last several films have been less embraced by the Academy overall, yet his actors often still score nominations (see Invictus) so that is why this earns a high rank.

4) Gary Oldman – Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy

A lot is riding on the quality of this movie in order to assure anything for Gary Oldman, but if it’s good it will no doubt get the BAFTA bump. This chameleon of an actor is so good that he is hardly noticeable in his films. That sense of restraint is not often something the Academy recognizes, so he may have to add some showiness to gain their attention, but he might have it in this film.

5) Michael Shannon – Take Shelter

This performance has already received all-out raves at the Sundance Film Festival inspiring David Rooney of The Hollywood Reporter to call Shannon the most “mesmerizing American actor working in any medium today.” This performance sounds like the closes thing to a “sure bet” in this category, but who knows if the movie will be embraced as ecstatically when it gets a wide release.

View the Rest of the Best Actor Predictions

Best Actress Oscar Predictions 2012

1) Meryl Streep – The Iron Lady

Knowing next to nothing about this movie other than the few publicity stills I have seen, I already must say that this looks like a sure thing for Meryl Streep to finally win her third Oscar. Margaret Thatcher is an iconic historical character that had such a unique speaking style and mannerisms that it will be a blast to see where Meryl takes it. If the movie is too on-the-nose, it may negatively affect Streep, but you know no matter what happens she will be great.

2) Tilda Swinton – We Need to Talk About Kevin

She was the favorite to win the Best Actress award at the Cannes Film Festival, but lost to Kirsten Dunst. I have a feeling that the Academy will not feel similarly as a smart, but safer movie like We Need to Talk About Kevin seems like it will gain their favor more than anything by Lars Von Trier. Swinton won as recently as four years ago and this film could throw her right back on the Academy’s radar.

3) Charlize Theron – Young Adult

This would be the first nomination that Theron receives when not under heavy make-up (I assume). Along with Alexander Payne, the other working director who has shown a knack for getting his performers nominated is Jason Reitman whose films Up in the Air and Juno scored a combined four performance Oscar nominations. Theron’s role in this film as a divorced writer returning home seems pretty straight-forward, but if the film is well-received she will go far.

4) Michelle Williams – My Week With Marilyn

When it comes to playing real-life characters there is always a risk of taking on a role that is too iconic and it could potentially become cliche. That risk is very much present for Hollywood icon Marilyn Monroe. However, Michelle Williams is one of the most restrained and honest actresses working today and if anybody can escalate this performance to brilliance, it’s Williams.

5) Kirsten Dunst – Melancholia

She has already earned one of the first big awards of the year by taking home the Best Actress prize at the Cannes Film Festival. Only once in the past 20 years has the Cannes Best Actress winner gone on to win the Oscar (Holly Hunter for The Piano) and rarely is that particular actress even nominated. However, if Lars Von Trier’s film is well-received she should receive a lot of the praise.

View the Rest of the Best Actress Predictions

There is a lot of time for these to change and I assure you they will, but until then please share your thoughts on the race.
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Post by Admin on Tue Jul 05, 2011 12:13 am

http://afistfuloffilms.blogspot.com/2011/06/updated-lead-actor-prediction-oscar.html

Monday, June 27, 2011
Updated Lead Actor Prediction (Oscar 2011)
My June predictions are as follows:

1) Leonardo DiCaprio/J. Edgar
WHY?:
When you factor in the majors here, it really does look like the planets aligned just right for Leo to FINALLY win what has been alluding him since ’93; the Oscar. He’s considered incredibly overdue, he’s starring in an Eastwood biopic and the buzz surrounding this film is huge. I don’t see him losing this at all. That Oscar may has well have his name etched in it right now.

2) Ryan Gosling/The Ides of March
WHY?:
The snub last year will account for something, and the fact that he is a charismatic actor starring in a political film needing charisma (and the part is said to be baity) will also carry weight. Add to that George Clooney, who is practically worshiped now and you have a very predictable second nomination.

3) Gary Oldman/Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
WHY?:
He’s Gary Oldman and he hasn’t even been nominated ONCE. I know that he may not be considered overdue by the Academy, but the fans are already making fuss about this being ‘his year’ and the baity project matched with a director I have high hopes for means that I think this COULD be the year he finally gets in, and if he does…he may even be a dark horse for the Oscar, considering his age and prestige (but really, DiCaprio isn’t losing).

4) Michael Fassbender/A Dangerous Method
WHY?:
Michael Fassbender has been making a real splash over the past few years, showing off his glowing charismatic talent in a wide range of roles and has most certainly been accruing much needed respect among his peers. Now he has a plum role in a prestige film. I had him higher on the list before I saw the disappointing trailer, but we won’t know anything until the reviews come pouring in, and right now I think his chances are pretty good.

5) Brad Pitt/Moneyball
WHY?:
Is Brad Pitt this year’s Sandra Bullock? The film looks incredibly mediocre and it sounds (on paper) to be a total borefest, but he’s Brad Pitt and the writer/director team behind this movie is totally Oscary, so maybe I’ll be wowed. Besides, Brad is going to be having a great year with lots of media attention thanks to his film releases and, well, his life…so I think he could get in regardless of how bland the film may actually be.

~

6) Daniel Craig/The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
7) George Clooney/The Descendants
Cool Jean DuJardin/The Artist
9) Sam Riley/On the Road
10) Peter Mullan/Tyrannosaur

I really don’t know what to think right now. I mean, some things are just too predictable to actually happen, and the fact that this early out nearly every Oscar predictor has a DiCaprio/Golsing/Fassbender/Oldman lineup means that something is not going to happen, so I could be so off here.

But it just feels so right.

I know that George Clooney is nearly everyone’s cup of tea, but The Descendants looks so effing bland. I can’t fathom it being a huge player, and yet it probably is going to be, so look for Clooney to get nominated yet again for doing the same thing he did the last time he got nominated. I still think that Craig is going to get more attention than everyone is counting on (I swear that I am the only person talking Oscar and Daniel Craig ATM). The role is far more reserved than the one that is most likely locked up for a nomination, but it is also a very good one and if the film goes over huge I totally see Craig being swept in with the buzz.

After that I really don’t know.

I want to say that The Artist will be a really big hit across the board, mainly because it looks like so much fun (I can’t wait to see it), but I have my doubts considering the artistic approach taken to the film (it’s silent).

But you never know…

OTHER UPDATED PREDICTIONS:
Best Picture
Best Director
Lead Actress
Supporting Actor
Supporting Actress
Posted by Fisti at 8:21 AM
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Post by Admin on Tue Jul 05, 2011 6:34 pm

http://jbaker475movies.blogspot.com/2011/07/2011-6-months-in-favorites.html

Tuesday, July 5, 2011
2011, 6 Months In: The Favorites
It's hard to believe, but half of 2011 is already gone. In a few months, we'll be hit with festivals from both Venice and Toronto, and then it's back to awards season madness. However, since that's still some ways off, I'd rather focus on the present: the halfway (well, probably a little past, but close enough) point of the year in movies. How 2011 will stack up against recent years remains to be seen, but it's certainly been a diverse year so far. Here's a look at my favorites (across the categories), written up as though today was the last day of the year:

The Half-Way Favorites:

Best Picture:
13 Assassins
Bridesmaids
Certified Copy
The Double Hour
Hanna
Jane Eyre
Midnight in Paris
Rango
The Tree of Life
Win Win

Winner: The Tree of Life


Best Director:
Giuseppe Capotondi - The Double Hour
Abbass Kiarostami - Certified Copy
Terrence Malick - The Tree of Life
Gore Verbinski - Rango
Joe Wright - Hanna

Winner: Terrence Malick - The Tree of Life


Best Actor:
Johnny Depp - Rango
Paul Giamatti - Win Win
Mel Gibson - The Beaver
Peter Mullan - Tyrannosaur
William Shimmell - Certified Copy

Winner: Peter Mullan - Tyrannosaur


Best Actress:
Juliette Binoche - Certified Copy
Olivia Colman - Tyrannosaur
Kseniya Rappoport - The Double Hour
Saoirse Ronan - Hanna
Mia Wasikowska - Jane Eyre
Kristen Wiig - Bridesmaids

Winner: Juliette Binoche - Certified Copy


Best Supporting Actor:
Michael Fassbender - Jane Eyre
Hunter McCracken - The Tree of Life
Brad Pitt - The Tree of Life
Christoph Waltz - Water for Elephants
Anton Yelchin - The Beaver

Winner: Brad Pitt - The Tree of Life


Best Supporting Actress:
Cate Blanchett - Hanna
Rose Byrne - Bridesmaids
Jessica Chastain - The Tree of Life
Melanie Lynskey - Win Win
Melissa McCarthy - Bridesmaids

Winner [TIE]: Cate Blanchett - Hanna/Jessica Chastain - The Tree of Life


Best Original Screenplay:
Bridesmaids
Certified Copy
The Double Hour
Midnight in Paris
Tyrannosaur

Winner: The Double Hour


Best Adapted Screenplay:
Incendies
Jane Eyre
X-Men: First Class
--
--

Winner: Jane Eyre


Best Editing:
The Beaver
The Double Hour
Hanna
Midnight in Paris
Tyrannosaur

Winner: Hanna


Best Cinematography:
13 Assassins
The Double Hour
Hanna
Jane Eyre
The Tree of Life

Winner: The Tree of Life


Best Art Direction:
Hanna
Jane Eyre
Midnight in Paris
The Tree of Life
X-Men: First Class

Winner: The Tree of Life


Best Costume Design:
Hanna
Jane Eyre
Midnight in Paris
The Tree of Life
Water for Elephants

Winner: Hanna


Best Animated Film: Rango [default]

Best Foreign Language Film:
13 Assassins [Japan]
Certified Copy [Belgium/France/Italy]
The Double Hour [Italy]
Incendies [Canada]
Of Gods and Men [France]

Winner: The Double Hour [Italy]


Best Original Score:
The Double Hour - Pasquale Catalano
Hanna - The Chemical Brothers
Jane Eyre - Dario Marianelli
Rango - Hans Zimmer
The Tree of Life - Alexandre Desplat

Winner: Hanna - The Chemical Brothers


Best Original Song: "Hanna's Theme" - Hanna [default]

Best Makeup:
13 Assassins
Hanna
Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides
Super 8
X-Men: First Class

Winner: 13 Assassins


Best Visual Effects:
Fast Five
Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides
Super 8
The Tree of Life
X-Men: First Class

Winner: The Tree of Life
Posted by jbaker475 at 12:16 PM
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Post by Admin on Fri Jul 08, 2011 10:29 pm

http://nevertooearlymoviepredictions.blogspot.com/2011/07/84th-oscar-lead-actor-updates-2011-2012.html

Friday, July 8, 2011
84th Oscar Lead Actor Updates (2011-2012 Awards Season) (7/8/11)
Here are today’s rankings for the 84th Oscar Lead Actor race, with previous ranking shown in parenthesis after each entry.

1. Leonardo DiCaprio in J. Edgar (Predicted Winner) (previous rank 1)
2. Ryan Gosling in The Ides of March (previous rank 2)
3. Michael Fassbender in A Dangerous Method (previous rank 3)
4. George Clooney in The Descendants (previous rank 7)
5. Gary Oldman in Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy (previous rank 5)

Alternates:
6. Joseph Gordon-Levitt in 50/50 (previous rank 11)
7. Jean Dujardin in The Artist (New)
8. Antonio Banderas in La Piel Que Habito (The Skin That I Inhabit) (previous rank 4)
9. Johnny Depp in The Rum Diary (previous rank Cool
10. Brad Pitt in Moneyball (previous rank 22)
11. Michael Shannon in Take Shelter (previous rank 17)
12. John C. Reilly in Carnage (previously listed in 85th Oscar race, rank 7)
13. Matt Damon in We Bought A Zoo (previous rank 15)
14. Sam Riley in On The Road (previous rank 10)
15. Anton Yelchin in Like Crazy (previous rank 13)
16. Woody Harrelson in Rampart (previous rank 25)
17. Tahar Rahim in Black Gold (previous rank 12)
18. Daniel Craig in The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (New)
19. Ewan McGregor in Beginners (previous rank 14)
20. Brad Pitt in The Tree Of Life (if he is pushed lead) (previous rank 6)
21. Thomas Horn in Extremely Loud And Incredibly Close (previously listed in 85th Oscar race, rank 18)
22. Evan Ross in Mooz-lum (previous rank 9)
23. Matt Damon in Contagion (previous rank 33)
24. Jeremy Irvine in War Horse (previous rank 32)
25. Hunter McCracken in The Tree Of Life (previously listed as supporting, rank 28)
26. Michael Fassbender in Shame (previous rank 27)
27. Ralph Feinnes in Coriolanus (previous rank 34)
28. Demian Bichir in A Better Life (New)
29. Paul Giamatti in Win Win (previous rank 30)
30. Anthony Mackie in Bolden! (previous rank 21)
31. David Hyde Pierce in The Perfect Host (New)
32. Tobey Maguire in The Details (previous rank 20)
33. Cuba Gooding Jr. in Red Tails (previous rank 16)
34. Ryan Gosling in Drive (New)
35. Tom Hardy in Warrior (New)
36. Asa Butterfield in Hugo (New)
37. Eddie Redmayne in My Week With Marilyn (New)
38. Sean Penn in This Must Be The Place (previous rank 19)
39. Peter Mullan in Tyrannosaur (previous rank 31)
40. Luis Tosar in Tambien La Lluvia (Even The Rain) (previous rank 26)
41. James McAvoy in The Conspirator (previous rank 35)
42. Omari Hardwick in I Will Follow (previous rank 18)
43. Dominic Cooper in The Devil’s Double (previous rank 36)
44. James D’Arcy in W.E. (New)
45. Jim Sturgess in One Day (New)
46. Goran Kostic in In The Land Of Blood And Honey (New)
47. James Franco in Maladies (New)
48. Paul Rudd in Our Idiot Brother (New)
49. Steve Carell in Crazy Stupid Love (New)
50. Owen Wilson in Midnight In Paris (New)


As always, check the Tracker Pages in the upper right hand corner of this blog for the most updated predictions in all categories!
Posted by NeverTooEarlyMP at 7/08/2011 11:00:00 AM
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Post by Admin on Fri Jul 08, 2011 10:34 pm

http://www.filmmisery.com/?p=7666

OSCAR TRACKER: Best Supporting Actor and Actress Predictions 2012

Friday, July 8, 2011 4 Comments
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One of the big influences for making Best Supporting Actor and Actress predictions this early in the season is the desire to see an established actor who has never won before finally get their due. Names like Christopher Plummer, Paul Giamatti, Viola Davis, and Emily Watson are mentioned in this year’s batch of contenders if for no other reason than hopes are high that this may finally be their year. As a movie fan I always have the desire to see the year’s best performance actually winning the award, but I am rarely upset when a deserving performer who has a significant catalog of work finally gets recognition from their peers.

This year there are a decent amount of up and coming actors who could earn a nomination for the first time including Ezra Miller, Armie Hammer, Hunter McCracken, Jessica Chastain, or Mia Wasikowska. The past several years have shown a nice mix of winners who were first time nominees and multiple nominees, young actors and older actors, Awards magnets and first time phenoms. With very little known this time in the year, here are my predictions for how 2011 might end up.

Best Supporting Actor Predictions

1) Christopher Plummer – Beginners

A rule of thumb when it comes to making early Oscar predictions is to go with what you know and having seen Beginners, I know that Christopher Plummer is phenomenal as the elderly father of the protagonist. It is unclear what sort of competition will emerge yet this year to challenge Plummer, but this long-time actor who is experiencing some of his best work in the twilight of his life will be hard to beat.

2) Viggo Mortensen – A Dangerous Method

Every year I choose a film early to throw a large amount of support behind in terms of Awards probability. In case it is not obvious that film this year is David Cronenberg’s A Dangerous Method. Besides the fact that Cronenberg and frequent collaborator Viggo Mortensen are very overdue for a nomination, this film offers real-life characters in suspenseful roles that should be challenging and rewarding if the film is a success.

3) Christoph Waltz – Carnage

Coming off his first Oscar win for 2009′s Inglourious Basterds, Christoph Waltz became an incredibly hot commodity in Hollywood almost overnight. Roman Polanski’s Carnage should offer great opportunities for all four of its principles and now that it has for sure been slated for a 2011 release it has to be in any awards conversation.

4) Ezra Miller – We Need to Talk About Kevin

Tilda Swinton got most of the praise out of the Cannes Film Festival for her performance in Lynne Ramsay’s We Need to Talk About Kevin, but Miller was also praised for his small role. He plays a mentally imbalanced school shooter which could be the type of showy role that earns him some attention from several major Awards bodies. He will need a boost from the critics, but there is no reason he won’t be able to get it.

5) Philip Seymour Hoffman – The Ides of March or Moneyball

Who knows which actor (if any) will emerge as an Awards contender from George Clooney’s star-packed film The Ides of March. Hoffman has the early advantage because he tends to steal the screen from anybody he appears with and is already in the Academy’s favor. He won his only Oscar for appearing in Bennett Miller’s Capote so look for him to get some buzz for having a smaller part in Miller’s follow-up Moneyball.

View the Rest of the Supporting Actor Predictions

Best Supporting Actress Predictions

1) Viola Davis – The Help

Davis lights up the stage annually and has made a rather impressive transition to film where she has already earned an Oscar nomination for about 8-minutes of screen time in 2008′s Doubt. Buzz from early screenings of The Help have singled out Davis as the film’s show-stealer with Jeff Wells of Hollywood Elsewhere saying she is “now at or near the top of the 2011 Best Supporting Actress list.”

2) Vanessa Redgrave – Coriolanus

It is difficult for actors and actress who appear in Shakespeare adaptations to earn Oscar nominations despite the fact that the material is challenging and the performances are often some of the year’s best. I suspect the primary reason is because Shakespeare adaptations are done quite frequently and the Academy has seen it all already. However, this is the first big screen adaptation of Coriolanus which means the feisty Volumnia has yet to be seen, a great opportunity for Redgrave.

3) Jessica Chastain – Take Shelter

If not Michael Fassbender, 2011 may belong to Jessica Chastain who springs from obscurity to roles in a Terence Malick film, a John Madden film, and Take Shelter – one of the standouts of the Sundance Film Festival. She was highly praised for playing the sympathetic wife opposite Michael Shannon’s deranged schizophrenic and her other film The Tree of Life is likely to maintain Academy attention throughout the year.

4) Keira Knightly – A Dangerous Method

There was a lot of poking fun at the accent of Keira Knightley in the trailer for A Dangerous Method, but sources who have seen some of the film say she is actually fantastic and one of the film’s standouts. I suspect that she may be overshadowed by Fassbender and Mortensen, but if she can hold her own once again there is no reason she won’t receive some Awards attention.

5) Naomi Watts – J. Edgar

I personally thought Watts was overlooked for her excellent performance as Valerie Plame in 2010′s Fair Game. This year she is in a Clint Eastwood movie, which means it would be a shock if she turns in another great performance and is ignored once again. She plays Helen Gandy, the right-hand woman to J. Edgar Hoover who should get enough screen time for Watts to really show her chops.
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Post by Admin on Tue Jul 12, 2011 10:30 pm

http://forizzer69.wordpress.com/2011/07/12/halfway-awards-2011/

Halfway Awards: 2011

July 12, 2011 at 8:13 pm (Personal Awards!)

I’ve not been reviewing much, and I don’t think I really will be for the next little while (though perhaps when I rewatch The Tree Of Life I’ll do one up), but here’s some superfluity. Going by US release to make this a far more interesting affair than it would be if I were to exclude, say, HaHaHa.

BEST PICTURE
Aurora
HaHaHa
Bal (Honey)
Meek’s Cutoff
Midnight In Paris

BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Mitsuru Fukikoshi – Cold Fish
Benoit Magimal – Little White Lies
Hunter McCracken – The Tree Of Life
Cristi Puiu – Aurora
Jun-Sang Yu – HaHaHa

BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Marion Cotillard – Little White Lies
Liana Liberto – Trust
Takako Matsu – Confessions
Michelle Williams – Meek’s Cutoff
Jeong-hie Yun – Poetry

BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Michael Fassbender – Jane Eyre
Ryu Kohata – City of Life and Death
Brad Pitt – The Tree Of Life
Corey Stoll – Midnight In Paris
Christoph Waltz – Water For Elephants

BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Jessica Chastain – The Tree Of Life
Zoe Kazan – Meek’s Cutoff
Melanie Lynskey – Win Win
Maria Popistasu – Tuesday, After Christmas
Moon So-ri – HaHaHa

BEST DIRECTOR
Woody Allen – Midnight In Paris
Benjamin Heisenberg – The Robber
Semih Kaplanoglu – Bal (Honey)
Cristi Puiu – Aurora
Kelly Reichardt – Meek’s Cutoff

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Bal (Semih Kaplanoglu)
Cold Fish (Shion Sono)
HaHaHa (Sang-soo Hong)
Meek’s Cutoff (Kelly Reichardt + Jonathan Raymond)
Midnight In Paris (Woody Allen)

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Not good enough to even try.
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Post by Admin on Tue Jul 19, 2011 6:35 pm

http://www.filmmisery.com/?p=7722

Best Films and Performances of the First Half of 2011

Saturday, July 16, 2011

As I have mentioned numerous times over the past several weeks, I firmly believe that 2011 is one of the best years for movies in a while. That belief is thanks in enormous part to three particular films that would have likely been contenders for my favorite film of the year in any of the past three years. I will get to those films in a minute. As far as performances go, those have been less transcendent. There have been two performances this year that have truly stood out as the type that deserve to be revisited come Awards season, but nothing much beyond that. Those also happen to be the Actor and Actress that top my lists below.

By my count I have seen 31 new films so far this year (I’m on pace to set a record). Here are m five best experiences at the theatre so far:

Best Films

5) Potiche – Directed by François Ozon

The great eye of director François Ozon and the pitch perfect comic timing of both Catherine Deneuve and Gérard Depardieu are primarily what make this film a delight. It also successfully manages to make commentary about power struggles within gender and class without ever taking itself too seriously. [Full Review]

4) Bridesmaids – Directed by Paul Feig

Despite being entirely different in tone the qualities that make Bridesmaids a great film are the same as the ones that made me appreciate Potiche. Both films are comedies that do not seem to realize they are comedies. By that I mean the respective roles are portrayed with such an austere sense of realism that there is never a distracting wink at the camera. As an American mainstream comedy Bridesmaids was a glorious breath of fresh air as it was funnier and had more heart that just about anything else Hollywood has put out recently. It also offers a star-making turn for Kristen Wiig who deservedly has been collecting accolades. [Podcast Review]

3) Midnight in Paris – Directed by Woody Allen

Since initially seeing Woody Allen’s Midnight in Paris I have gone over it in my head dozens of times in order to determine whether I liked it because it had a true heart or because it had smart people references that I could push up my glasses and laugh at. The conclusion that I came to is – does it matter? The film captures the exact essence of “movie magic” that is so rare among mainstream films. The credit can only partially go to Allen as much of it belongs to the title city that can bring inspiration to almost any work of art. [Full Review]

2) The Tree of Life – Directed by Terence Malick

One of the greatest things a film can do for me is reveal an honest beauty in a world I already knew about and this epic film from one of the greatest living auteurs does that in at least three ways. First it uses the camera, expertly directed by Emmanual Lubezki, to show earthly landscapes and human characters in perfectly lit serenity to show the beauty of God. Second it uses visual effects to show the majesty and beauty that can be created by man. Third, and most crucial, it uses an open-ended narrative structure to show how the two can exist in harmony. The Tree of Life is probably a film I will visit yearly and come out of it with a completely different visceral reaction every time and I look forward to those viewings with high anticipation.

1) Certified Copy – Directed by Abbas Kiarostami

The conclusion of Abbas Kiarostami’s romantic drama left me with one of the best post-film viewing experiences I can recount – mouth agape, trying to re-assemble the pieces of the story I just saw. Certified Copy is a perfect product of its time (I challenge anyone to find better commentary about Hollywood), yet also completely timeless. The central couple embarks on an adventure that is equal parts romance and mystery, creating a relationship that may or may not be entirely fictional. This film will be shown in film classes for decades to come to incite a discussion on the value of art and it is easily the best new film I have seen in years. [Full Review]

Best Performances by an Actress

3) Kristen Wiig – Bridesmaids

This Saturday Night Live alumnus earns her keep as a bona fide queen of comedy with this honest and silly performance. As co-writer of the films, Wiig had almost complete creative control over the character and this allowed her bring a great sense of truth. Her character was not a romantic comedy stereotype nor was she too restrained to prevent her from revealing some cattiness.

2) Mia Wasikowska – Jane Eyre

While she may not get an Oscar nomination this year, there are definitely big things in Mia Wasikowska’s future. She became recognizable with last year’s Alice in Wonderland, held her own against Julianne Moore and Annette Bening in The Kids Are All Right, and this year she has already balanced the fabulous Michael Fassbender on this dark interpretation of the classic novel.

1) Juliette Binoche – Certified Copy

Juliette Binoche is unquestionably one of the most daring and talented actresses working today and her performance in Abbas Kiarostami’s Certified Copy is one of her all-time best. The dynamic Binoche is able to portray a myriad of emotions with what appears to be incredible ease as her enthusiasm melts into cynicism in a fantastic and heart-wrenching way.

Best Performances by an Actor

3) Mel Gibson – The Beaver

There is no way Gibson will receive an Oscar nomination because of he is a public relations nightmare. However, he should still be recognized for having one of the best performances of 2011 so far. He manages to portray a depressed schizophrenic with such calculated balance that his characters’ uncouth behavior feels refreshingly honest.

2) Michael Fassbender – X-Men: First Class

I currently have Michael Fassbender at the top of my Best Actor prediction charts, but for another movie – David Cronenberg’s A Dangerous Method. Whether he does or doesn’t score a nomination he will have to be recognized as the actor of the year with two smashing performances already under his belt (Jane Eyre, X-Men: First Class) and three more on the way (Shame, Haywire, A Dangerous Method). I chose to recognize him for X-Men: First Class because I honestly believe any other actor in that role would have made the movie less watchable.

1) Christopher Plummer – Beginners

The only performance this year that I feel safe to say is almost guaranteed an Oscar nomination is the legendary Christopher Plummer’s work in Beginners is heartbreaking and sympathetic without being too sweet. He reveals himself as a character with flaws and a past he is not necessarily proud of, but chooses to forget instead of regret. His boyish enthusiasm is infectious and his character steals every scene in the movie.

Worst Films

The Hangover: Part II – Directed by Todd Phillips

Apparently the cast were unavailable for a sequel to The Hangover so they just decided to digitally remove Las Vegas and insert Thailand. The result was making a bad movie worse. [Podcast Review]

The Conspirator – Directed by Robert Redford

This forgettable historical drama focused on the wrong characters and made the whole affair less interesting, no matter how much it tried to be a modern political metaphor. [Podcast Review]

Everything Must Go – Directed by Dan Rush

Put every indie movie cliche in a bag, shake vigorously and serve. Don’t forget to remove any subtlety and add some over-acting. [Podcast Review]

What are your favorites and least favorites from 2011 so far?
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Post by Admin on Mon Jul 25, 2011 10:12 pm

http://www.guardian.co.uk/film/gallery/2011/jul/25/oscars-awards-films#/?picture=377027537&index=0

Should be a contender: the 50 big films vying for Oscar's attention

The end of July means the start of the awards season: it's when the two big autumn film festivals – Venice and Toronto – start to announce their programmes, and when we get a first look at those movies that'll be on everyone's radar next spring. Here are our top 50 Oscar tips, ranked in order, from bottom to top. Let us know what you think, and what we've forgotten (we'll deal with documentary and foreign language films separately)

35: Haywire. Mixed martial arts pro and former American Gladiator Gina Carano plays a ex-black ops soldier on the run from the unit she used to work for. Michael Fassbender, Channing Tatum, Ewan McGregor and Antonio Banderas star as the team that must bring her in (and as the credible acting talent who could raise this above a standard Bourne-esque stomp 'n thump). The trailer – a melee of gunplay, scowling and acrobatic fisticuffs – suggests that director Steven Soderbergh (whose last film, The Last Time I Saw Michael Gregg, was an improvised comedy based on a theatre company staging a Chekov play) is back at the popcorn counter. Oscar is likely to find this Salt-y rather than sweet

34: Jane Eyre. Once Hollywood's starlet-du-jour Mia Wasikowska signed up to this adaptation of Charlotte Brontë’s novel, it immediately shot into the award-bait category. And with Michael Fassbender opposite her, as the mysterious Mr Rochester, there's potential for both to make their major-gong breakthrough. But the early release (March 2011 in the US; we're waiting until the autumn over here) says that there's little confidence in it building enough momentum to win anything

25: Shame, the new one from Steve (Hunger) McQueen, has no release date pencilled in yet (and no publicity stills either; this is an on-set snap), but the chances of this erotic vehicle for Michael Fassbender finding its way into the autumn festival programme seem high. Carey Mulligan co-stars as his sister

14: A Dangerous Method is a tale of warring psychoanalysts, directed by David Cronenberg and starring Viggo Mortensen; a film that puts A History of Violence on the couch. Mortensen plays Freud while Michael Fassbender plays Jung. Both are at loggerheads over the beautiful, troubled Sabina Spielrein (Keira Knightley). It could bag nominations for the acting, directing and Christopher Hampton's adapted screenplay. But will the subject matter prove too dour and cerebral for Academy voters? Or might the treatment even be a touch too Carry on …?
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Post by Admin on Mon Aug 01, 2011 12:47 am

http://www.lordofthefilms.net/2011/07/2012-oscar-predictions.html

July 22, 2011
2012 Oscar Predictions

Here are my second attempt at predictions for the 84th Academy Awards. I will be predicting every category except Foreign Language Film and the Short Film categories as they have a much more complicated system for nominating. Additionally, a new system for voting for Best Picture nominees has been established since I last predicted the nominees. There will now be anywhere between 5 and 10 Best Picture nominees instead of a guaranteed 10. To be nominated a film will need 5% of the 1st place vote for Best Picture.

As of right now there seem to be 5 major Best Picture contenders so I will only predict 5 Best Picture nominees at the moment.


BEST PICTURE
-The Artist
-Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
-The Ides of March
-The Tree of Life
-War Horse

BEST DIRECTOR
-George Clooney, The Ides of March
-Stephen Daldry, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
-Michael Hazanvicius, The Artist
-Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life
-Steven Spielberg, War Horse

BEST LEAD ACTOR
-Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar
-Michael Fassbender, A Dangerous Method
-Ryan Gosling, The Ides of March
-Gary Oldman, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
-Michael Shannon, Take Shelter

BEST LEAD ACTRESS
-Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
-Kirsten Dunst, Melancholia
-Rooney Mara, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
-Charlize Theron, Young Adult
-Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
-Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn
-Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Ides of March
-Viggo Mortensen, A Dangerous Method
-Brad Pitt, The Tree of Life
-Christopher Plummer, Beginners

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
-Jessica Chastain, Take Shelter
-Viola Davis, The Help
-Keira Knightley, A Dangerous Method
-Vanessa Redgrave, Coriolanus
-Marisa Tomei, The Ides of March

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
-Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
-The Ides of March
-Moneyball
-Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
-War Horse

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
-The Artist
-J. Edgar
-Midnight in Paris
-Take Shelter
-Young Adult

BEST ANIMATED FILM
-Happy Feet 2
-Kung Fu Panda 2
-Rango
-Winnie the Pooh

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
-Cave of Forgotten Dreams
-Life in a Day
-Louder Than A Bomb
-Project Nim
-Tabloid

BEST ART DIRECTION
-Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
-Hugo
-Jane Eyre
-The Tree of Life
-War Horse

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
-The Artist
-Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
-Hugo
-The Tree of Life
-War Horse

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
-The Artist
-Hugo
-Jane Eyre
-Water For Elephants
-War Horse

BEST FILM EDITING
-The Artist
-A Dangerous Method
-The Ides of March
-The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
-War Horse

BEST MAKEUP
-Captain America; The First Avenger
-The Iron Lady
-Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
-The Adventures of Tintin: Secret of the Unicorn
-The Artist
-Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
-Rango
-War Horse

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
-The Adventures of Tin: Secret of the Unicorn
-Happy Feet 2
-The Muppets
-The Muppets
-Rio

BEST SOUND EDITING
-The Adventures of Tintin: Secret of the Unicorn
-Harry Potter and the Dathly Hallows, Part 2
-Super 8
-Transformers: Dark of the Moon
-War Horse

BEST SOUND MIXING
-The Adventures of Tintin: Secret of the Unicorn
-The Artist
-Super 8
-Transformers: Dark of the Moon
-War Horse

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
-Cowboys and Aliens
-Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
-Rise of the Planet of the Apes
-Super 8
-Transformers: Dark of the Moon


HYPOTHETICAL NOMINATION LEADERS
10-War Horse
8-The Artist
7-The Ides of March
5-Harry Potter ad the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
-The Tree of Life
4-The Adventures of Tintin: Secret of the Unicorn
-A Dangerous Method
3-Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
-Hugo
-Super 8
-Take Shelter
-Transformers: Dark of the Moon
2-The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
-Happy Feet 2
-J. Edgar
-Jane Eyre
-The Muppets
-My Week With Marilyn
-Rango
-Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
-Young Adult
Posted by Ryan at 4:51 PM
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